Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 65%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

16 of 24 top traders (67%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,499

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Up16 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,553

Combined PnL+$151.6

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.2K	62% 421-262 (683)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$750	$709.51	+$31.81	51% 3170-3070 (6240)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 25.5¢	$333.07	$495.48	+$162.42	50% 2116-2116 (4232)
└ Up leg	Upavg 32.4¢	$160.41	$495.48	+$335.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.5¢	$172.66	—	-$172.66
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$518.59	$490	-$8.28	54% 3273-2778 (6051)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$243.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$252.87	—	-$251.38
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 53.4¢	$135.82	$254.15	+$118.33	50% 1805-1780 (3585)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 67.4¢	$189.3	$175.16	-$14.14	50% 2996-2942 (5938)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 41.3¢	$82.59	$155.41	+$72.82	49% 4271-4363 (8634)
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.3¢	$64.2	$155.41	+$91.21
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.6¢	$18.39	—	-$18.39
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98.9¢	$96.97	$98	+$1.03	98% 3425-72 (3497)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$122.05	$115	-$7.05	52% 2098-1948 (4046)
└ Up leg	Upavg 73.5¢	$84.47	$115	+$30.53
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.3¢	$37.58	—	-$37.58
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 69.6¢	$94.72	$89.92	-$0	52% 4903-4599 (9502)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 36.2¢	$59.22	$51.23	-$8	54% 2198-1898 (4096)
└ Down leg	Downavg 36.2¢	$42.04	—	-$42.04
└ Up leg	Upavg 33.5¢	$17.18	$51.23	+$34.05
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 79¢	$58.55	$55	-$3.55	44% 1940-2509 (4449)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 54.2¢	$35.27	—	-$35.27	47% 1973-2229 (4202)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 61.9¢	$38.36	$33.76	+$3.32	46% 1397-1625 (3022)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 72.8¢	$37.88	$37.22	-$0.67	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 11.7¢	$10.18	—	-$10.18	38% 1328-2178 (3506)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91.7¢	$24.05	$20.22	-$3.83	64% 2251-1263 (3514)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$4.33	—	-$4.33	37% 1289-2149 (3438)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 33.6¢	$7.97	$15.66	+$7.69	38% 597-969 (1566)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 49¢	$14.7	$30	+$15.3	50% 740-741 (1481)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 95.5¢	$15.57	$12.06	-$3.51	49% 2245-2302 (4547)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 31.5¢	$10.39	—	-$10.39	58% 4936-3607 (8543)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 10.9¢	$4.02	—	-$4.02	32% 974-2040 (3014)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	$20.1	$11.41	+$3.93	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	52% 2502-2335 (4837)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR

Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

62%

421-262 (683)

soswald1

Invested

$750

Value

$709.51

PnL

+$31.81

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

uninformedflowwARB<$100

Down

Invested

$333.07

Value

$495.48

PnL

+$162.42

Record

50%

2116-2116 (4232)

Both legs:

Up$160.4132.4¢+$335.08

Down$172.6625.5¢-$172.66

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$518.59

Value

$490

PnL

-$8.28

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

Both legs:

Up$24550¢+$243.1

Down$252.8750¢-$251.38

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$135.82

Value

$254.15

PnL

+$118.33

Record

50%

1805-1780 (3585)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$189.3

Value

$175.16

PnL

-$14.14

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$82.59

Value

$155.41

PnL

+$72.82

Record

49%

4271-4363 (8634)

Both legs:

Up$64.241.3¢+$91.21

Down$18.3929.6¢-$18.39

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$96.97

Value

$98

PnL

+$1.03

Record

98%

3425-72 (3497)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$122.05

Value

$115

PnL

-$7.05

Record

52%

2098-1948 (4046)

Both legs:

Up$84.4773.5¢+$30.53

Down$37.5851.3¢-$37.58

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$94.72

Value

$89.92

PnL

-$0

Record

52%

4903-4599 (9502)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$59.22

Value

$51.23

PnL

-$8

Record

54%

2198-1898 (4096)

Both legs:

Down$42.0436.2¢-$42.04

Up$17.1833.5¢+$34.05

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$58.55

Value

$55

PnL

-$3.55

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$35.27

Value

—

PnL

-$35.27

Record

47%

1973-2229 (4202)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$38.36

Value

$33.76

PnL

+$3.32

Record

46%

1397-1625 (3022)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$37.88

Value

$37.22

PnL

-$0.67

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$10.18

Value

—

PnL

-$10.18

Record

38%

1328-2178 (3506)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$24.05

Value

$20.22

PnL

-$3.83

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.33

Value

—

PnL

-$4.33

Record

37%

1289-2149 (3438)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$7.97

Value

$15.66

PnL

+$7.69

Record

38%

597-969 (1566)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$14.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$15.3

Record

50%

740-741 (1481)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$15.57

Value

$12.06

PnL

-$3.51

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$10.39

Value

—

PnL

-$10.39

Record

58%

4936-3607 (8543)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.02

Value

—

PnL

-$4.02

Record

32%

974-2040 (3014)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$20.1

Value

$11.41

PnL

+$3.93

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

PnL

+$0.2

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

Smart Money Signal

16 of 24 top traders (67%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfbe8a3f3...bebcf7

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794662100

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.2K

soswald1

Up — $709.51

uninformedfloww

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $254.15

+$118.33

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $175.16

-$14.14

asdcaxz

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$72.82

hoodquant

Up — $98

+$1.03

Polkadot-Frog

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$7.05

blue.birds

Up — $89.92

-$0

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