Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 72%
$3.9K
$71.35
Smart Money Signal
21 of 29 top traders (72%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$3.2 | 62% 421-262 (683) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $706 | +$24.42 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $511.56 | $494.45 | +$5.78 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $285.93 | $290 | +$4.07 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 54.1¢ | $279.29 | $268 | -$9.34 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 52.6¢ | $157.65 | $159.23 | +$11.38 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 81¢ | $96.11 | $118.65 | +$22.54 | 49% 1297-1335 (2632) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 26.8¢ | $46.72 | $84.75 | +$48.23 | 46% 2602-3088 (5690) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $59.65 | $72.19 | +$12.54 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $53.07 | $70 | +$16.93 | 52% 4903-4599 (9502) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $51.67 | $63.79 | +$12.12 | 51% 4567-4423 (8990) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68.3¢ | $46.11 | $45 | -$1.12 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 63.4¢ | $66.18 | — | -$36.22 | 52% 2098-1948 (4046) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $25.62 | $26.74 | +$1.27 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $21.64 | $47.61 | +$25.97 | 51% 916-874 (1790) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $16.1 | $35 | +$18.9 | 48% 1156-1258 (2414) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $14.8 | $20 | +$5.2 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $10.48 | $19.07 | +$8.59 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $11.58 | $10.06 | -$1.52 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | $4.85 | $6.72 | +$1.87 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $5.03 | $13 | +$7.97 | 47% 2017-2278 (4295) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $47.05 | — | -$47.05 | 50% 1805-1780 (3585) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.3¢ | $2.79 | — | -$2.79 | 38% 1328-2178 (3506) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $0.86 | — | -$0.86 | 32% 974-2040 (3014) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $0.72 | $1.72 | +$1 | 71% 1495-608 (2103) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$3.2
Record
62%
421-262 (683)
Invested
$750
Value
$706
PnL
+$24.42
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$511.56
Value
$494.45
PnL
+$5.78
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Invested
$285.93
Value
$290
PnL
+$4.07
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$279.29
Value
$268
PnL
-$9.34
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
Invested
$157.65
Value
$159.23
PnL
+$11.38
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
Invested
$96.11
Value
$118.65
PnL
+$22.54
Record
49%
1297-1335 (2632)
Invested
$46.72
Value
$84.75
PnL
+$48.23
Record
46%
2602-3088 (5690)
Invested
$59.65
Value
$72.19
PnL
+$12.54
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Invested
$53.07
Value
$70
PnL
+$16.93
Record
52%
4903-4599 (9502)
Invested
$51.67
Value
$63.79
PnL
+$12.12
Record
51%
4567-4423 (8990)
Invested
$46.11
Value
$45
PnL
-$1.12
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$66.18
Value
—
PnL
-$36.22
Record
52%
2098-1948 (4046)
Invested
$25.62
Value
$26.74
PnL
+$1.27
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$21.64
Value
$47.61
PnL
+$25.97
Record
51%
916-874 (1790)
Invested
$16.1
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.9
Record
48%
1156-1258 (2414)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.2
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
Invested
$10.48
Value
$19.07
PnL
+$8.59
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
Invested
$11.58
Value
$10.06
PnL
-$1.52
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$6.72
PnL
+$1.87
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$5.03
Value
$13
PnL
+$7.97
Record
47%
2017-2278 (4295)
Invested
$47.05
Value
—
PnL
-$47.05
Record
50%
1805-1780 (3585)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.79
Value
—
PnL
-$2.79
Record
38%
1328-2178 (3506)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$0.86
Record
32%
974-2040 (3014)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
$1.72
PnL
+$1
Record
71%
1495-608 (2103)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $706
ByteBadger92
Down — $494.45
hoodquant
Down — $290
uninformedfloww
Down — $268
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $159.23
mo-money
Down — $118.65
suntori
Down — $84.75
asdcaxz
Down — $72.19
blue.birds
Down — $70