Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 69%
1 arb excluded
$1.9K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
20 of 29 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.1K | 62% 421-262 (683) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $524.94 | $490.01 | +$11.6 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $462.32 | $466.99 | +$4.67 | 71% 1495-608 (2103) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 66.1¢ | $193.03 | $292.11 | +$99.08 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 80.7¢ | $109.93 | $105 | -$1.07 | 52% 2098-1948 (4046) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 29.4¢ | $73.31 | $75 | +$1.69 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.4¢ | $34.8 | $75 | +$40.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.4¢ | $38.51 | — | -$38.51 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $108.69 | $77.55 | -$27.23 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.6¢ | $54.73 | — | -$46.23 | 52% 4903-4599 (9502) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $58.72 | $71.61 | +$12.89 | 49% 1297-1335 (2632) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 59.5¢ | $106.63 | — | -$102.97 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
AL almach | Downavg 76¢ | $99.94 | $131.5 | +$31.56 | 50% 1311-1307 (2618) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | $53.66 | — | -$42.33 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $13.41 | $31 | +$17.59 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $23.13 | $25.29 | +$9.79 | 46% 1397-1625 (3022) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $17.93 | $20 | +$7.35 | 47% 1952-2164 (4116) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.1¢ | $71.53 | — | -$21.26 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $15.26 | $18.61 | +$3.35 | 51% 4567-4423 (8990) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $22.6 | $50 | +$27.4 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.5¢ | $17.5 | — | -$17.5 | 50% 1805-1780 (3585) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $9.25 | $14.84 | +$5.59 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $5 | $11.11 | +$6.11 | 37% 1289-2149 (3438) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $10.78 | $21.99 | +$11.21 | 48% 1156-1258 (2414) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $12.45 | $10 | -$2.45 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 38% 597-969 (1566) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $2.5 | $5.56 | +$3.06 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
62%
421-262 (683)
Invested
$524.94
Value
$490.01
PnL
+$11.6
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
BoneOhioInvested
$462.32
Value
$466.99
PnL
+$4.67
Record
71%
1495-608 (2103)
Invested
$193.03
Value
$292.11
PnL
+$99.08
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$109.93
Value
$105
PnL
-$1.07
Record
52%
2098-1948 (4046)
Invested
$73.31
Value
$75
PnL
+$1.69
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Both legs:
Invested
$108.69
Value
$77.55
PnL
-$27.23
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
Invested
$54.73
Value
—
PnL
-$46.23
Record
52%
4903-4599 (9502)
Invested
$58.72
Value
$71.61
PnL
+$12.89
Record
49%
1297-1335 (2632)
Invested
$106.63
Value
—
PnL
-$102.97
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$99.94
Value
$131.5
PnL
+$31.56
Record
50%
1311-1307 (2618)
Invested
$53.66
Value
—
PnL
-$42.33
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
Invested
$13.41
Value
$31
PnL
+$17.59
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
Invested
$23.13
Value
$25.29
PnL
+$9.79
Record
46%
1397-1625 (3022)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.93
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.35
Record
47%
1952-2164 (4116)
Invested
$71.53
Value
—
PnL
-$21.26
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Invested
$15.26
Value
$18.61
PnL
+$3.35
Record
51%
4567-4423 (8990)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.6
Value
$50
PnL
+$27.4
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
Invested
$17.5
Value
—
PnL
-$17.5
Record
50%
1805-1780 (3585)
Invested
$9.25
Value
$14.84
PnL
+$5.59
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$5
Value
$11.11
PnL
+$6.11
Record
37%
1289-2149 (3438)
Invested
$10.78
Value
$21.99
PnL
+$11.21
Record
48%
1156-1258 (2414)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.45
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.45
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
38%
597-969 (1566)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5.56
PnL
+$3.06
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $490.01
BoneOhio
Down — $466.99
uninformedfloww
Down — $292.11
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $105
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $77.55
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
Down — $71.61
soswald1
CTRUp — $0