Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
-$131.33
Smart Money Signal
16 of 23 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$26.08 | 62% 416-256 (672) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $517.24 | $497.5 | -$5.9 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $249.2 | $497.5 | +$248.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $251.79 | — | -$254.8 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 62.6¢ | $213.98 | $191.56 | -$22.42 | 51% 2975-2913 (5888) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 79.6¢ | $119.94 | $97.67 | -$22.27 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $78.91 | $79.71 | +$0.8 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96.6¢ | $62.1 | $64.3 | +$2.2 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.9¢ | $46.83 | — | -$46.83 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $26.33 | $33.04 | +$6.71 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 82.4¢ | $111.32 | $30.89 | +$2.92 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $32.5 | $30 | -$2.5 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | $7.58 | $19.11 | +$11.53 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $17.82 | $16 | -$1.82 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $13.35 | $15.08 | +$1.73 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $13.56 | $15.77 | +$2.21 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $4.11 | $11.96 | +$7.85 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $9.84 | $10 | +$3.94 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.3¢ | $11.79 | — | -$11.79 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.6 | $6.15 | +$0.55 | 46% 2583-3072 (5655) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.72 | $11 | +$5.28 | 58% 4932-3605 (8537) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.9¢ | $74.18 | — | -$74.18 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $15.65 | — | -$15.65 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$26.08
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$517.24
Value
$497.5
PnL
-$5.9
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$213.98
Value
$191.56
PnL
-$22.42
Record
51%
2975-2913 (5888)
Invested
$119.94
Value
$97.67
PnL
-$22.27
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$78.91
Value
$79.71
PnL
+$0.8
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Invested
$62.1
Value
$64.3
PnL
+$2.2
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$46.83
Value
—
PnL
-$46.83
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$26.33
Value
$33.04
PnL
+$6.71
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$111.32
Value
$30.89
PnL
+$2.92
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$32.5
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.5
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.58
Value
$19.11
PnL
+$11.53
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.82
Value
$16
PnL
-$1.82
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.35
Value
$15.08
PnL
+$1.73
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
Invested
$13.56
Value
$15.77
PnL
+$2.21
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$4.11
Value
$11.96
PnL
+$7.85
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
Invested
$9.84
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.94
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$11.79
Value
—
PnL
-$11.79
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.15
PnL
+$0.55
Record
46%
2583-3072 (5655)
Invested
$5.72
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.28
Record
58%
4932-3605 (8537)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$74.18
Value
—
PnL
-$74.18
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$15.65
Value
—
PnL
-$15.65
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $191.56
asdcaxz
Up — $97.67
BoneOhio
Up — $79.71
hoodquant
Up — $64.3
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $33.04
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $30.89
blue.birds
Up — $30