Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$89.4

Smart Money Signal

8 of 20 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,683

Combined PnL+$33.52

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares350

Combined PnL-$122.92

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$5.35	62% 416-256 (672)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$501.65	$498.28	-$2.37	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.14	$498.28	+$249.28
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$251.65	—	-$251.65
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 59.4¢	$48.83	$65.88	+$17.05	49% 4251-4347 (8598)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 67.8¢	$36	$53.08	+$17.08	50% 1794-1769 (3563)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 72¢	$29.64	$35.59	+$5.95	51% 3148-3049 (6197)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 86.4¢	$33.99	$29.11	-$4.88	54% 2187-1881 (4068)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 48.8¢	$45.25	—	-$25.4	52% 2078-1939 (4017)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$18	—	-$18	51% 909-867 (1776)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 33.1¢	$39.91	—	-$28.51	46% 1383-1617 (3000)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 47.1¢	$16.5	—	-$16.5	52% 4886-4583 (9469)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 76¢	$11.55	$15.2	+$3.65	47% 1960-2212 (4172)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 97¢	$20.21	$13	-$2.74	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 77.2¢	$9.34	$12.1	+$2.76	46% 2583-3072 (5655)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$5.76	—	-$5.76	52% 2488-2319 (4807)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 63¢	$1.53	—	-$1.53	60% 3496-2347 (5843)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	42% 1499-2108 (3607)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 1.5¢	$0.85	—	-$0.85	51% 1306-1242 (2548)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 18¢	$9.9	—	-$9.9	50% 2099-2099 (4198)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 37.5¢	$8.8	—	-$8.8	47% 2004-2262 (4266)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 31¢	$4.03	—	-$4.03	48% 1943-2144 (4087)