Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 24% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
29
Up 21%
$1.3K
$-1.7K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 29 top traders (24%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 62% 416-256 (672) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$541.51 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $515.86 | $498.45 | +$8.22 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 58¢ | $102.5 | $162.68 | +$60.18 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 66.6¢ | $151.62 | $133.61 | -$8.83 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $72.88 | $96.99 | +$24.11 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $55.44 | $56 | +$0.56 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $51.78 | $54.31 | +$2.65 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $46.58 | $47.05 | +$6.52 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.8¢ | $74.85 | — | -$12.69 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 55.1¢ | $19.1 | $34.68 | +$15.58 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 32.1¢ | $10.26 | $32 | +$21.74 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 32.7¢ | $18 | $55 | +$37 | 51% 909-867 (1776) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $19.27 | $20 | +$0.73 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $18.2 | $20.06 | +$1.86 | 48% 1389-1500 (2889) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.7¢ | $15.4 | — | -$15.4 | 38% 589-960 (1549) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $15.53 | $17.56 | +$2.03 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $17.37 | $16.33 | -$1.04 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.8¢ | $13.04 | $13.76 | +$0.72 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $3 | $11.99 | +$8.99 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $5.6 | $8.75 | +$3.15 | 46% 2583-3072 (5655) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.65 | $5.11 | +$0.46 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.3 | $10 | +$6.7 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $2.48 | $2.76 | +$0.28 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$541.51
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$515.86
Value
$498.45
PnL
+$8.22
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$102.5
Value
$162.68
PnL
+$60.18
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$151.62
Value
$133.61
PnL
-$8.83
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$72.88
Value
$96.99
PnL
+$24.11
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$55.44
Value
$56
PnL
+$0.56
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$51.78
Value
$54.31
PnL
+$2.65
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$46.58
Value
$47.05
PnL
+$6.52
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$74.85
Value
—
PnL
-$12.69
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$19.1
Value
$34.68
PnL
+$15.58
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.26
Value
$32
PnL
+$21.74
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$18
Value
$55
PnL
+$37
Record
51%
909-867 (1776)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$19.27
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.73
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
$20.06
PnL
+$1.86
Record
48%
1389-1500 (2889)
Invested
$15.4
Value
—
PnL
-$15.4
Record
38%
589-960 (1549)
Invested
$15.53
Value
$17.56
PnL
+$2.03
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.37
Value
$16.33
PnL
-$1.04
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$13.04
Value
$13.76
PnL
+$0.72
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$3
Value
$11.99
PnL
+$8.99
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$8.75
PnL
+$3.15
Record
46%
2583-3072 (5655)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.46
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.7
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$2.48
Value
$2.76
PnL
+$0.28
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $498.45
asdcaxz
Down — $162.68
blue.birds
Down — $133.61
ply-pm2
Down — $96.99
hoodquant
Down — $56
rabadabadoo
Down — $54.31
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $47.05
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0