Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Up 30%
$974.28
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 21 top traders (33%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 62% 416-256 (672) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $505.34 | $500 | +$7.92 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 73.5¢ | $173.83 | $236.51 | +$62.68 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $36.74 | $50.5 | +$13.77 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $34.73 | $45 | +$10.27 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $47.37 | $37 | +$6.41 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 61.8¢ | $21.62 | $34.98 | +$13.36 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $9.78 | $11 | +$1.22 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $10.78 | $11 | +$0.22 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $9.19 | $12.26 | +$3.07 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $13.75 | $10.45 | +$0.98 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $6.65 | $10 | +$3.35 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $4.5 | $5.29 | +$0.79 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.6 | $5.29 | +$0.69 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 58% 4932-3605 (8537) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.4¢ | $7.85 | — | -$0.51 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5¢ | $4.21 | — | -$4.21 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $1.91 | — | -$1.91 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$505.34
Value
$500
PnL
+$7.92
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$173.83
Value
$236.51
PnL
+$62.68
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$36.74
Value
$50.5
PnL
+$13.77
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$34.73
Value
$45
PnL
+$10.27
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$47.37
Value
$37
PnL
+$6.41
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$21.62
Value
$34.98
PnL
+$13.36
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$9.78
Value
$11
PnL
+$1.22
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$10.78
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.22
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$9.19
Value
$12.26
PnL
+$3.07
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$13.75
Value
$10.45
PnL
+$0.98
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
Invested
$6.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.35
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.29
PnL
+$0.79
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5.29
PnL
+$0.69
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
58%
4932-3605 (8537)
Invested
$7.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.21
Value
—
PnL
-$4.21
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$1.91
Value
—
PnL
-$1.91
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
uninformedfloww
Down — $236.51
asdcaxz
Down — $50.5
ply-pm2
Down — $45
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $37
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $34.98
blue.birds
Down — $11
hoodquant
Down — $11
asdaefef
Down — $12.26