Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Up 43%
$872.46
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 21 top traders (43%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 62% 416-256 (672) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$692.73 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $505.7 | $497.87 | +$8.37 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $83.75 | $79.37 | -$4.38 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $61.4 | $69.77 | +$8.37 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $41.96 | $64.7 | +$22.74 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $29.65 | $30 | +$0.35 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $29 | $50 | +$21 | 51% 909-867 (1776) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $39.99 | $26 | -$0.53 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $28.47 | — | -$28.47 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $12.3 | $15.28 | +$2.98 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $6.23 | $12.83 | +$6.6 | 58% 4932-3605 (8537) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $10.06 | $15.47 | +$5.41 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.76 | — | -$1.76 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $5.72 | $6.16 | +$0.45 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.9¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.7¢ | $2.71 | — | -$2.71 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.3¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $3.64 | — | -$3.64 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$692.73
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$505.7
Value
$497.87
PnL
+$8.37
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$83.75
Value
$79.37
PnL
-$4.38
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$61.4
Value
$69.77
PnL
+$8.37
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$41.96
Value
$64.7
PnL
+$22.74
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$29.65
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.35
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$29
Value
$50
PnL
+$21
Record
51%
909-867 (1776)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$39.99
Value
$26
PnL
-$0.53
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$28.47
Value
—
PnL
-$28.47
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$12.3
Value
$15.28
PnL
+$2.98
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$6.23
Value
$12.83
PnL
+$6.6
Record
58%
4932-3605 (8537)
Invested
$10.06
Value
$15.47
PnL
+$5.41
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.76
Value
—
PnL
-$1.76
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$5.72
Value
$6.16
PnL
+$0.45
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$2.71
Value
—
PnL
-$2.71
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.64
Value
—
PnL
-$3.64
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $497.87
asdcaxz
Down — $79.37
uninformedfloww
Down — $69.77
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $64.7
ply-pm2
Down — $30
Little-big
Down — $50
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $26
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0