Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 71%
$2.8K
$94.24
Smart Money Signal
15 of 21 top traders (71%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$4.62 | 62% 416-256 (672) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $507.5 | $500 | +$6.2 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.6¢ | $232.2 | $264.06 | +$31.86 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 96.1¢ | $201.82 | $210 | +$8.18 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $55.98 | $72.7 | +$16.72 | 49% 1289-1328 (2617) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $50.25 | $60 | +$9.75 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $37.49 | $44.99 | +$7.5 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $37.44 | $44.1 | +$11.91 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $32.75 | $37.21 | +$4.47 | 51% 4556-4418 (8974) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86.2¢ | $129.21 | $30 | +$10.5 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $26.24 | $27 | +$0.76 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $26.06 | $20 | -$4.96 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $5.6 | $6.02 | +$0.42 | 46% 2583-3072 (5655) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $9.3 | $5 | -$0.05 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.2¢ | $3.85 | $5.41 | +$1.56 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.1¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $8.26 | — | -$8.26 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$4.62
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$507.5
Value
$500
PnL
+$6.2
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$232.2
Value
$264.06
PnL
+$31.86
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$201.82
Value
$210
PnL
+$8.18
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$55.98
Value
$72.7
PnL
+$16.72
Record
49%
1289-1328 (2617)
Invested
$50.25
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.75
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$37.49
Value
$44.99
PnL
+$7.5
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
ohioism<$100Invested
$37.44
Value
$44.1
PnL
+$11.91
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$32.75
Value
$37.21
PnL
+$4.47
Record
51%
4556-4418 (8974)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$129.21
Value
$30
PnL
+$10.5
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.24
Value
$27
PnL
+$0.76
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$26.06
Value
$20
PnL
-$4.96
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.02
PnL
+$0.42
Record
46%
2583-3072 (5655)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.05
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5.41
PnL
+$1.56
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
Invested
$8.26
Value
—
PnL
-$8.26
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
uninformedfloww
Down — $264.06
hoodquant
Down — $210
mo-money
Down — $72.7
blue.birds
Down — $60
ply-pm2
Down — $44.99
ohioism
Down — $44.1
bosona
Down — $37.21
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30