Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 59%
$1.6K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 17 top traders (59%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.4K | 62% 416-256 (672) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $750 | $750 | +$17.11 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $504 | $500.01 | +$11.7 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 81Β’ | $149.9 | $184.99 | +$35.1 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.5Β’ | $53.32 | β | -$53.32 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 62.8Β’ | $38.6 | $61.44 | +$22.85 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $25.74 | $26 | +$0.26 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 45.5Β’ | $21.3 | $30 | +$8.7 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $8 | $10 | +$2 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.3Β’ | $6.59 | β | -$6.59 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 48.5Β’ | $4.85 | $10 | +$5.15 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $4.32 | $5.62 | +$1.29 | 49% 1289-1328 (2617) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $1.18 | β | -$1.18 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7Β’ | $5.86 | β | -$5.86 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4Β’ | $13.86 | β | -$13.86 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.8Β’ | $6.11 | β | -$6.11 | 46% 1383-1617 (3000) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$17.11
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$504
Value
$500.01
PnL
+$11.7
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$149.9
Value
$184.99
PnL
+$35.1
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$53.32
Value
β
PnL
-$53.32
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$38.6
Value
$61.44
PnL
+$22.85
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
Invested
$25.74
Value
$26
PnL
+$0.26
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$21.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.7
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.59
Value
β
PnL
-$6.59
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.15
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
Invested
$4.32
Value
$5.62
PnL
+$1.29
Record
49%
1289-1328 (2617)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
β
PnL
-$1.18
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.86
Value
β
PnL
-$5.86
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$13.86
Value
β
PnL
-$13.86
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$6.11
Value
β
PnL
-$6.11
Record
46%
1383-1617 (3000)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp β $0
soswald1
Down β $750
ByteBadger92
Down β $500.01
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $184.99
asdcaxz
CTRUp β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $61.44
hoodquant
Down β $26
ply-pm2
Down β $30
aaa221
Down β $10

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0