Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 67%
$1.9K
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.5K | 62% 416-256 (672) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$1.26 | 51% 1306-1242 (2548) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$498 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 93.9Β’ | $386.3 | $411.21 | +$24.91 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $86.55 | $80 | -$1.65 | 52% 2078-1939 (4017) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $47.22 | $51 | +$3.78 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $46.15 | $50 | +$3.85 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 93.5Β’ | $18.7 | $20 | +$1.3 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $13.29 | $13.7 | +$0.41 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $7.47 | $7.7 | +$0.23 | 46% 2583-3072 (5655) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $4.52 | $4.91 | +$0.39 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $3.17 | $3.2 | +$0.03 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3Β’ | $1.02 | β | -$1.02 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.4Β’ | $0.33 | β | -$0.33 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
62%
416-256 (672)
Invested
$1,263.74
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.26
Record
51%
1306-1242 (2548)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$498
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$386.3
Value
$411.21
PnL
+$24.91
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$86.55
Value
$80
PnL
-$1.65
Record
52%
2078-1939 (4017)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$47.22
Value
$51
PnL
+$3.78
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
Invested
$46.15
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.85
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$18.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.3
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$13.29
Value
$13.7
PnL
+$0.41
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$7.47
Value
$7.7
PnL
+$0.23
Record
46%
2583-3072 (5655)
Invested
$4.52
Value
$4.91
PnL
+$0.39
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$3.17
Value
$3.2
PnL
+$0.03
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$1.02
Value
β
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
Invested
$0.33
Value
β
PnL
-$0.33
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown β $0
0x50f7
Up β $1.3K
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $411.21

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $80

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $51
asdcaxz
Up β $50
soswald1
Up β $20
aaa221
Up β $13.7
suntori
Up β $7.7