Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 68%
$2.3K
-$14.57
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$4.44 | 62% 409-250 (659) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $507.71 | $495 | +$4.88 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 85.9¢ | $203.47 | $141.79 | +$1.63 | 50% 2078-2073 (4151) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 82.8¢ | $125.6 | $49.34 | +$6.12 | 52% 2057-1924 (3981) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.5¢ | $34.87 | — | -$34.87 | 50% 1772-1760 (3532) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $27.64 | $27.63 | -$0.01 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $25.25 | $25.5 | +$0.25 | 98% 3371-72 (3443) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $9.04 | $20 | +$10.96 | 47% 1993-2245 (4238) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $9.48 | $18.65 | +$9.17 | 47% 1950-2185 (4135) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $9.11 | $11.34 | +$2.23 | 46% 1371-1603 (2974) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 96.5¢ | $11.58 | $12 | +$0.42 | 41% 1475-2082 (3557) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $22.79 | $11 | -$6.93 | 52% 4868-4560 (9428) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.99 | $7 | +$0.01 | 51% 1297-1233 (2530) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $6.18 | $5 | -$1.18 | 38% 1307-2140 (3447) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $6.78 | $5 | -$1.78 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 44% 1915-2467 (4382) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.2¢ | $2.37 | — | -$2.37 | 49% 4234-4320 (8554) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.34 | — | -$1.34 | 32% 958-2010 (2968) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.8¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 52% 2477-2289 (4766) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 38% 584-952 (1536) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 48% 1927-2124 (4051) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$4.44
Record
62%
409-250 (659)
Invested
$507.71
Value
$495
PnL
+$4.88
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
Invested
$203.47
Value
$141.79
PnL
+$1.63
Record
50%
2078-2073 (4151)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$125.6
Value
$49.34
PnL
+$6.12
Record
52%
2057-1924 (3981)
Invested
$34.87
Value
—
PnL
-$34.87
Record
50%
1772-1760 (3532)
Invested
$27.64
Value
$27.63
PnL
-$0.01
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
Invested
$25.25
Value
$25.5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
98%
3371-72 (3443)
Invested
$9.04
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.96
Record
47%
1993-2245 (4238)
Invested
$9.48
Value
$18.65
PnL
+$9.17
Record
47%
1950-2185 (4135)
Invested
$9.11
Value
$11.34
PnL
+$2.23
Record
46%
1371-1603 (2974)
Invested
$11.58
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.42
Record
41%
1475-2082 (3557)
Invested
$22.79
Value
$11
PnL
-$6.93
Record
52%
4868-4560 (9428)
Invested
$6.99
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.01
Record
51%
1297-1233 (2530)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.18
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.18
Record
38%
1307-2140 (3447)
Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Invested
$6.78
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.78
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
44%
1915-2467 (4382)
Invested
$2.37
Value
—
PnL
-$2.37
Record
49%
4234-4320 (8554)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
-$1.34
Record
32%
958-2010 (2968)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
2477-2289 (4766)
Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
38%
584-952 (1536)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
48%
1927-2124 (4051)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Down — $495
uninformedfloww
Down — $141.79
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $49.34
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $27.63
hoodquant
Down — $25.5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $18.65
rabadabadoo
Down — $11.34