Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Up 71%
$440.43
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 62% 409-250 (659) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.2¢ | $507.85 | — | -$498.85 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2¢ | $182.74 | $186 | +$3.26 | 98% 3371-72 (3443) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 61.4¢ | $102.69 | $114.74 | +$12.05 | 52% 4868-4560 (9428) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 42.2¢ | $68.33 | $100.24 | +$33.91 | 49% 4234-4320 (8554) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.1¢ | $24.28 | — | -$24.28 | 38% 584-952 (1536) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.5¢ | $27.29 | — | -$27.29 | 51% 2945-2881 (5826) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $29.1 | — | -$29.1 | 52% 2057-1924 (3981) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.1¢ | $22.88 | — | -$22.88 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 41.5¢ | $10.14 | $24.45 | +$14.31 | 46% 1371-1603 (2974) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $16 | — | -$16 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $7.47 | — | -$7.47 | 46% 2570-3056 (5626) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $2.7 | $15 | +$12.3 | 47% 1950-2185 (4135) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 48% 1927-2124 (4051) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $3.27 | — | -$3.27 | 44% 1915-2467 (4382) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.6¢ | $3.37 | — | -$3.37 | 52% 2477-2289 (4766) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.5¢ | $71.62 | — | -$71.62 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
409-250 (659)
Invested
$507.85
Value
—
PnL
-$498.85
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
Invested
$182.74
Value
$186
PnL
+$3.26
Record
98%
3371-72 (3443)
Invested
$102.69
Value
$114.74
PnL
+$12.05
Record
52%
4868-4560 (9428)
Invested
$68.33
Value
$100.24
PnL
+$33.91
Record
49%
4234-4320 (8554)
Invested
$24.28
Value
—
PnL
-$24.28
Record
38%
584-952 (1536)
Invested
$27.29
Value
—
PnL
-$27.29
Record
51%
2945-2881 (5826)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$29.1
Value
—
PnL
-$29.1
Record
52%
2057-1924 (3981)
Invested
$22.88
Value
—
PnL
-$22.88
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Invested
$10.14
Value
$24.45
PnL
+$14.31
Record
46%
1371-1603 (2974)
Invested
$16
Value
—
PnL
-$16
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$7.47
Record
46%
2570-3056 (5626)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$12.3
Record
47%
1950-2185 (4135)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
48%
1927-2124 (4051)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.27
Value
—
PnL
-$3.27
Record
44%
1915-2467 (4382)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.37
Value
—
PnL
-$3.37
Record
52%
2477-2289 (4766)
Invested
$71.62
Value
—
PnL
-$71.62
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $186
blue.birds
Down — $114.74
asdcaxz
Down — $100.24
flippingsharks
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
Down — $24.45