Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 45%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 20 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 62% 409-250 (659) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $507.5 | $498.55 | +$1.55 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.4¢ | $713.16 | $724.68 | +$11.52 | 71% 1465-598 (2063) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $104.22 | $85.25 | -$18.97 | 49% 4234-4320 (8554) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 72.4¢ | $61.75 | $85.25 | +$23.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.7¢ | $42.47 | — | -$42.47 | |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.6¢ | $7.33 | — | -$7.33 | 38% 1307-2140 (3447) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.4¢ | $43.79 | — | -$40.69 | 50% 2078-2073 (4151) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $50.4 | $40.87 | -$9.53 | 51% 2945-2881 (5826) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $35.03 | $56.99 | +$21.96 | 50% 1772-1760 (3532) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $43.51 | $38.21 | -$5.31 | 52% 4868-4560 (9428) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $55.89 | $31 | +$3.64 | 52% 2057-1924 (3981) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $44.17 | $25 | -$19.17 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $20.16 | — | -$18.79 | 46% 1371-1603 (2974) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 48% 1927-2124 (4051) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $13.87 | $19 | +$5.13 | 58% 4924-3594 (8518) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $6.87 | — | -$6.87 | 47% 1950-2185 (4135) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.2¢ | $18.17 | — | -$18.17 | 38% 584-952 (1536) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $1.94 | $2.94 | +$1 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 32% 958-2010 (2968) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 41% 1475-2082 (3557) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $0.23 | — | -$0.23 | 52% 2477-2289 (4766) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $28.02 | — | -$3.25 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
62%
409-250 (659)
Invested
$507.5
Value
$498.55
PnL
+$1.55
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
BoneOhioInvested
$713.16
Value
$724.68
PnL
+$11.52
Record
71%
1465-598 (2063)
Invested
$104.22
Value
$85.25
PnL
-$18.97
Record
49%
4234-4320 (8554)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.33
Value
—
PnL
-$7.33
Record
38%
1307-2140 (3447)
Invested
$43.79
Value
—
PnL
-$40.69
Record
50%
2078-2073 (4151)
Invested
$50.4
Value
$40.87
PnL
-$9.53
Record
51%
2945-2881 (5826)
Invested
$35.03
Value
$56.99
PnL
+$21.96
Record
50%
1772-1760 (3532)
Invested
$43.51
Value
$38.21
PnL
-$5.31
Record
52%
4868-4560 (9428)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$55.89
Value
$31
PnL
+$3.64
Record
52%
2057-1924 (3981)
Invested
$44.17
Value
$25
PnL
-$19.17
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
Invested
$20.16
Value
—
PnL
-$18.79
Record
46%
1371-1603 (2974)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
48%
1927-2124 (4051)
Invested
$13.87
Value
$19
PnL
+$5.13
Record
58%
4924-3594 (8518)
Invested
$6.87
Value
—
PnL
-$6.87
Record
47%
1950-2185 (4135)
Invested
$18.17
Value
—
PnL
-$18.17
Record
38%
584-952 (1536)
Invested
$1.94
Value
$2.94
PnL
+$1
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
32%
958-2010 (2968)
Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
41%
1475-2082 (3557)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.23
Value
—
PnL
-$0.23
Record
52%
2477-2289 (4766)
Invested
$28.02
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $498.55
BoneOhio
Down — $724.68
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $40.87
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $56.99
blue.birds
Down — $38.21
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $31