Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 47%
$2.4K
-$592.21
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$17.01 | 62% 409-250 (659) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $743.25 | +$76.32 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $506.2 | — | -$494.19 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.9¢ | $70.26 | — | -$70.26 | 52% 4868-4560 (9428) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $41.33 | — | -$41.33 | 51% 2945-2881 (5826) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $37.27 | — | -$37.27 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $97.88 | — | -$93.48 | 49% 4234-4320 (8554) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $47.51 | — | -$47.51 | 47% 1993-2245 (4238) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $17.66 | $38.74 | +$21.08 | 46% 1371-1603 (2974) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $35.08 | $58.99 | +$23.91 | 50% 1772-1760 (3532) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 23.2¢ | $6.04 | $26 | +$19.96 | 38% 1307-2140 (3447) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $8.94 | $39.59 | +$30.65 | 32% 958-2010 (2968) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 39.1¢ | $7.37 | $9.89 | +$2.52 | 52% 2057-1924 (3981) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 19.4¢ | $4.51 | $23.22 | +$18.71 | 52% 2477-2289 (4766) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 47% 1950-2185 (4135) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.4 | $5 | +$3.6 | 48% 1927-2124 (4051) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $0.79 | — | -$0.79 | 38% 584-952 (1536) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $13.05 | — | -$13.05 | 71% 1465-598 (2063) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 81.3¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 46% 2570-3056 (5626) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$17.01
Record
62%
409-250 (659)
Invested
$750
Value
$743.25
PnL
+$76.32
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
Invested
$506.2
Value
—
PnL
-$494.19
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
Invested
$70.26
Value
—
PnL
-$70.26
Record
52%
4868-4560 (9428)
Invested
$41.33
Value
—
PnL
-$41.33
Record
51%
2945-2881 (5826)
Invested
$37.27
Value
—
PnL
-$37.27
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Invested
$97.88
Value
—
PnL
-$93.48
Record
49%
4234-4320 (8554)
Invested
$47.51
Value
—
PnL
-$47.51
Record
47%
1993-2245 (4238)
Invested
$17.66
Value
$38.74
PnL
+$21.08
Record
46%
1371-1603 (2974)
Invested
$35.08
Value
$58.99
PnL
+$23.91
Record
50%
1772-1760 (3532)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.04
Value
$26
PnL
+$19.96
Record
38%
1307-2140 (3447)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.94
Value
$39.59
PnL
+$30.65
Record
32%
958-2010 (2968)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$7.37
Value
$9.89
PnL
+$2.52
Record
52%
2057-1924 (3981)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.51
Value
$23.22
PnL
+$18.71
Record
52%
2477-2289 (4766)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
47%
1950-2185 (4135)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.6
Record
48%
1927-2124 (4051)
Invested
$0.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.79
Record
38%
584-952 (1536)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$13.05
Value
—
PnL
-$13.05
Record
71%
1465-598 (2063)
Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
46%
2570-3056 (5626)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $743.25
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
Down — $38.74
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $58.99