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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 33%

Total Value

$666.91

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,534
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Down8 traders
Total Value$666.91
Total Shares667
Combined PnL+$7.54
Up — 33%Down — 67%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

62%

409-250 (659)

BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$69.58

Value

$68.95

PnL

-$0.63

Record

38%

1307-2140 (3447)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$58.6

Value

$30

PnL

+$1.27

Record

52%

2057-1924 (3981)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$20.45

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.55

Record

60%

3476-2322 (5798)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$15.54

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.54

Record

54%

2171-1861 (4032)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$8.77

Value

$11

PnL

+$2.23

Record

52%

4868-4560 (9428)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$7.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.2

Record

51%

3131-3018 (6149)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$8.5

Value

$6.96

PnL

-$1.54

Record

51%

1297-1233 (2530)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.76

Value

—

PnL

-$0.76

Record

49%

4234-4320 (8554)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

41%

1475-2082 (3557)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.66

Value

—

PnL

-$0.66

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xdbc75d8d...c04911
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794653100

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Up — $0

$-1.5K
BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

+$0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $68.95

-$0.63

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $30

+$1.27
AA

aaa221

Down — $25

+$4.55
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $15

-$0.54
BL

blue.birds

Down — $11

+$2.23
SO

soswald1

Down — $10

+$2.2
0X

0x50f7

Down — $6.96

-$1.54
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.76
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