Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 53%
$2.2K
-$42.86
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$2.92 | 63% 406-243 (649) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $512.22 | $495.03 | +$2.75 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 81.3Β’ | $59.41 | $63.41 | +$5.58 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97.2Β’ | $55.43 | $57 | +$1.57 | 98% 3348-72 (3420) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 88.8Β’ | $42.36 | $33.19 | -$9.17 | 54% 2156-1847 (4003) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 93.3Β’ | $35.78 | $33 | +$2.36 | 52% 2043-1911 (3954) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 75.8Β’ | $29.55 | $30 | +$1.5 | 50% 4218-4300 (8518) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 96.6Β’ | $21 | $19.33 | -$1.67 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 46.3Β’ | $11.66 | $16.86 | +$5.74 | 46% 1358-1593 (2951) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 89.8Β’ | $18.67 | $16.63 | -$1.52 | 46% 2546-3015 (5561) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $7.1 | β | -$7.1 | 44% 1903-2453 (4356) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9Β’ | $1.5 | β | -$1.5 | 47% 1977-2239 (4216) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7Β’ | $2.66 | β | -$2.66 | 38% 1297-2123 (3420) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5Β’ | $1.43 | β | -$1.43 | 32% 950-1996 (2946) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $0.99 | β | -$0.99 | 47% 1944-2175 (4119) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 8Β’ | $18.44 | β | -$18.44 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $0.06 | β | -$0.06 | 42% 1466-2059 (3525) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5Β’ | $11.89 | β | -$11.89 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5Β’ | $3.01 | β | -$3.01 | 52% 4851-4544 (9395) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$2.92
Record
63%
406-243 (649)
Invested
$512.22
Value
$495.03
PnL
+$2.75
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Invested
$59.41
Value
$63.41
PnL
+$5.58
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
Invested
$55.43
Value
$57
PnL
+$1.57
Record
98%
3348-72 (3420)
Invested
$42.36
Value
$33.19
PnL
-$9.17
Record
54%
2156-1847 (4003)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$35.78
Value
$33
PnL
+$2.36
Record
52%
2043-1911 (3954)
Invested
$29.55
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.5
Record
50%
4218-4300 (8518)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21
Value
$19.33
PnL
-$1.67
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
Invested
$11.66
Value
$16.86
PnL
+$5.74
Record
46%
1358-1593 (2951)
Invested
$18.67
Value
$16.63
PnL
-$1.52
Record
46%
2546-3015 (5561)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
β
PnL
-$7.1
Record
44%
1903-2453 (4356)
Invested
$1.5
Value
β
PnL
-$1.5
Record
47%
1977-2239 (4216)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.66
Value
β
PnL
-$2.66
Record
38%
1297-2123 (3420)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.43
Value
β
PnL
-$1.43
Record
32%
950-1996 (2946)
Invested
$0.99
Value
β
PnL
-$0.99
Record
47%
1944-2175 (4119)
Invested
$18.44
Value
β
PnL
-$18.44
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
Invested
$0.06
Value
β
PnL
-$0.06
Record
42%
1466-2059 (3525)
Invested
$11.89
Value
β
PnL
-$11.89
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
Invested
$3.01
Value
β
PnL
-$3.01
Record
52%
4851-4544 (9395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Up β $495.03
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $63.41
hoodquant
Up β $57
ply-pm2
Up β $33.19

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $33
asdcaxz
Up β $30

MayorMamdani
Up β $19.33
rabadabadoo
Up β $16.86
suntori
Up β $16.63