Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 59%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$-2.0K

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 17 top traders (59%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,360

Combined PnL$-2.3K

Up7 traders

Total Value$742.59

Total Shares743

Combined PnL+$250.37

Down — 59%Up — 41%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	63% 406-243 (649)
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 50¢	$750	—	-$674.73	51% 3113-3000 (6113)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$516.44	$495.54	-$5.29	54% 3204-2681 (5885)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.4¢	$244.83	$495.54	+$248.68
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$254.36	—	-$253.97
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 29.7¢	$202.19	$370.68	+$174.32	50% 2066-2059 (4125)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 47.7¢	$129.04	$160.46	+$31.42	52% 4851-4544 (9395)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 52.4¢	$127.05	$138.17	+$11.12	51% 2935-2874 (5809)
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.5¢	$57.34	$138.17	+$80.83
└ Down leg	Downavg 52.4¢	$69.71	—	-$69.71
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$94.19	$95.14	+$0.95	98% 3348-72 (3420)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 38.8¢	$87.32	$93.93	+$34.44	50% 4218-4300 (8518)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 58.4¢	$87.39	—	-$87.39	54% 2156-1847 (4003)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 52.9¢	$45.11	—	-$45.11	46% 1358-1593 (2951)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 61.5¢	$73.23	—	-$50.27	52% 2043-1911 (3954)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 71.2¢	$29.88	—	-$29.88	60% 3454-2312 (5766)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$9.42	$11.38	+$1.95	52% 2466-2274 (4740)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 77¢	$4.27	—	-$4.27	71% 1464-597 (2061)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$4.6	—	-$4.6	47% 1944-2175 (4119)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 41¢	$2.46	$6	+$3.54	42% 1466-2059 (3525)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 25¢	$1.25	$5	+$3.75	48% 1918-2109 (4027)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$12	—	-$12	47% 1977-2239 (4216)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$33.63	—	+$42.58	46% 2546-3015 (5561)