Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 32%
$1.1K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 19 top traders (32%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 63% 406-243 (649) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $254.66 | $254.93 | +$0.27 | 51% 1292-1224 (2516) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $108.8 | $109.92 | +$1.12 | 38% 1297-2123 (3420) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $72.86 | $73.6 | +$0.74 | 98% 3348-72 (3420) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $61.71 | $36.41 | -$5.5 | 50% 4218-4300 (8518) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $35.07 | $58 | +$22.93 | 50% 1753-1753 (3506) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4¢ | $52.65 | — | -$49.05 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $15.2 | $15 | -$0.2 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $15.17 | $20.7 | +$5.53 | 60% 3454-2312 (5766) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $15.9 | $15 | -$0.9 | 54% 2156-1847 (4003) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $6.77 | $11.28 | +$4.5 | 52% 2043-1911 (3954) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 44% 1903-2453 (4356) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $6 | $10 | +$4 | 51% 3113-3000 (6113) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $4.25 | $6.25 | +$2 | 48% 1918-2109 (4027) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 46% 1358-1593 (2951) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $1.6 | $3.07 | +$1.47 | 48% 1139-1227 (2366) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.4¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 52% 2466-2274 (4740) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.3¢ | $13.65 | — | -$13.65 | 52% 4851-4544 (9395) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
63%
406-243 (649)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Invested
$254.66
Value
$254.93
PnL
+$0.27
Record
51%
1292-1224 (2516)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$108.8
Value
$109.92
PnL
+$1.12
Record
38%
1297-2123 (3420)
Invested
$72.86
Value
$73.6
PnL
+$0.74
Record
98%
3348-72 (3420)
Invested
$61.71
Value
$36.41
PnL
-$5.5
Record
50%
4218-4300 (8518)
Invested
$35.07
Value
$58
PnL
+$22.93
Record
50%
1753-1753 (3506)
Invested
$52.65
Value
—
PnL
-$49.05
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
Invested
$15.2
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.2
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
Invested
$15.17
Value
$20.7
PnL
+$5.53
Record
60%
3454-2312 (5766)
Invested
$15.9
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.9
Record
54%
2156-1847 (4003)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$6.77
Value
$11.28
PnL
+$4.5
Record
52%
2043-1911 (3954)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
44%
1903-2453 (4356)
Invested
$6
Value
$10
PnL
+$4
Record
51%
3113-3000 (6113)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.25
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$2
Record
48%
1918-2109 (4027)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
46%
1358-1593 (2951)
Invested
$1.6
Value
$3.07
PnL
+$1.47
Record
48%
1139-1227 (2366)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
52%
2466-2274 (4740)
Invested
$13.65
Value
—
PnL
-$13.65
Record
52%
4851-4544 (9395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
0x50f7
Down — $254.93
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $109.92
hoodquant
Down — $73.6
asdcaxz
Down — $36.41
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $58
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $15
aaa221
Down — $20.7