Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 56%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

-$26.85

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 16 top traders (56%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares1,910

Combined PnL+$38.66

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares431

Combined PnL-$65.51

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$5.46	63% 406-243 (649)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$715	+$35.36	51% 3113-3000 (6113)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$357.5	$715	+$359.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$318.48	—	-$323.99
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$506.79	$495	-$3.7	54% 3204-2681 (5885)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$251.81	—	-$250.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$247.2
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$276.53	$279.41	+$2.88	98% 3348-72 (3420)
OhioRiskManagement	Downavg 95.5¢	$103.19	$108.03	+$4.84	38% 1297-2123 (3420)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 62.4¢	$76.05	$87.07	+$11.02	50% 4218-4300 (8518)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$62.05	$45	-$17.05	51% 2935-2874 (5809)
└ Down leg	Downavg 61.3¢	$27.6	$45	+$17.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.8¢	$34.45	—	-$34.45
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 97¢	$32.33	$33.33	+$1	32% 950-1996 (2946)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$12.3	—	-$12.3	52% 4851-4544 (9395)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 47.5¢	$9.5	—	-$9.5	54% 2156-1847 (4003)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 51¢	$3.06	$6	+$2.94	42% 1466-2059 (3525)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.61	$11	+$5.39	58% 4921-3591 (8512)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$4.75	—	-$4.75	48% 1139-1227 (2366)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 51¢	$4.08	$8	+$3.92	51% 896-852 (1748)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3.1¢	$9.13	—	-$9.13	51% 1292-1224 (2516)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 39.3¢	$6.02	—	-$6.02	52% 2466-2274 (4740)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.96	—	-$0.96	50% 1753-1753 (3506)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 40¢	$0.8	$2	+$1.2	48% 1918-2109 (4027)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 40.8¢	$22.85	—	-$22.85	50% 2066-2059 (4125)