Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 58%
$2.4K
-$53.48
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$0.64 | 62% 397-239 (636) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $514.67 | $491.34 | +$5.54 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 50.8¢ | $170.73 | $179.55 | +$8.82 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 41.7¢ | $23.77 | $29.06 | +$5.29 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $83.87 | $80 | -$3.87 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $38.66 | $43 | +$14.95 | 52% 2019-1897 (3916) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $14.57 | $41.65 | +$27.08 | 38% 580-937 (1517) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $27.95 | $40.06 | +$12.11 | 44% 1886-2437 (4323) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.6¢ | $80.68 | — | -$76.52 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 68.1¢ | $21.21 | $27.25 | +$6.04 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $13.44 | — | -$13.44 | 46% 1344-1580 (2924) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $21.3 | — | -$21.3 | 50% 1731-1732 (3463) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 40.9¢ | $17.85 | $38 | +$20.15 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 47% 1965-2218 (4183) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $6.23 | $8.8 | +$2.57 | 47% 1924-2156 (4080) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 38% 1284-2104 (3388) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.74 | — | -$0.74 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.9¢ | $21.48 | — | -$21.48 | 46% 2530-3008 (5538) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 81.7¢ | $12.45 | — | -$12.45 | 48% 1903-2089 (3992) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$0.64
Record
62%
397-239 (636)
Invested
$514.67
Value
$491.34
PnL
+$5.54
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$170.73
Value
$179.55
PnL
+$8.82
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
Invested
$23.77
Value
$29.06
PnL
+$5.29
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
Invested
$83.87
Value
$80
PnL
-$3.87
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$38.66
Value
$43
PnL
+$14.95
Record
52%
2019-1897 (3916)
Invested
$14.57
Value
$41.65
PnL
+$27.08
Record
38%
580-937 (1517)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$27.95
Value
$40.06
PnL
+$12.11
Record
44%
1886-2437 (4323)
Invested
$80.68
Value
—
PnL
-$76.52
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.21
Value
$27.25
PnL
+$6.04
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
Invested
$13.44
Value
—
PnL
-$13.44
Record
46%
1344-1580 (2924)
Invested
$21.3
Value
—
PnL
-$21.3
Record
50%
1731-1732 (3463)
Invested
$17.85
Value
$38
PnL
+$20.15
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
47%
1965-2218 (4183)
Invested
$6.23
Value
$8.8
PnL
+$2.57
Record
47%
1924-2156 (4080)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
38%
1284-2104 (3388)
Invested
$0.74
Value
—
PnL
-$0.74
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Invested
$21.48
Value
—
PnL
-$21.48
Record
46%
2530-3008 (5538)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.45
Value
—
PnL
-$12.45
Record
48%
1903-2089 (3992)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Down — $491.34
blue.birds
Down — $179.55
uninformedfloww
Down — $29.06
soswald1
Down — $80
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $43
flippingsharks
Down — $41.65
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $40.06
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $27.25