Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 50%
$2.0K
-$514.33
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.01 | 62% 397-239 (636) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $504.2 | β | -$503.75 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $379.17 | $383 | +$3.83 | 98% 3320-70 (3390) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 72.7Β’ | $81.54 | $44.08 | -$5.06 | 52% 2019-1897 (3916) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 61Β’ | $9.45 | $15.49 | +$6.04 | 47% 1965-2218 (4183) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 61Β’ | $7 | $9.49 | +$2.49 | 48% 1903-2089 (3992) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 21Β’ | $3.15 | β | -$3.15 | 54% 2138-1828 (3966) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 57.7Β’ | $8.45 | $14.64 | +$6.19 | 46% 1344-1580 (2924) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 24Β’ | $8.16 | β | -$8.16 | 50% 2065-2056 (4121) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $6.81 | $5.6 | -$1.21 | 38% 1284-2104 (3388) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $5.3 | $5.01 | -$0.29 | 51% 1285-1221 (2506) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $4.01 | $5.21 | +$1.2 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.5Β’ | $3.28 | β | -$3.28 | 51% 3088-2980 (6068) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 44% 1886-2437 (4323) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $1.81 | β | -$1.81 | 32% 943-1979 (2922) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13Β’ | $1.43 | β | -$1.43 | 47% 1924-2156 (4080) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.1Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3Β’ | $0.82 | β | -$0.82 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.01
Record
62%
397-239 (636)
Invested
$504.2
Value
β
PnL
-$503.75
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$379.17
Value
$383
PnL
+$3.83
Record
98%
3320-70 (3390)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$81.54
Value
$44.08
PnL
-$5.06
Record
52%
2019-1897 (3916)
Invested
$9.45
Value
$15.49
PnL
+$6.04
Record
47%
1965-2218 (4183)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7
Value
$9.49
PnL
+$2.49
Record
48%
1903-2089 (3992)
Invested
$3.15
Value
β
PnL
-$3.15
Record
54%
2138-1828 (3966)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$14.64
PnL
+$6.19
Record
46%
1344-1580 (2924)
Invested
$8.16
Value
β
PnL
-$8.16
Record
50%
2065-2056 (4121)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.81
Value
$5.6
PnL
-$1.21
Record
38%
1284-2104 (3388)
Invested
$5.3
Value
$5.01
PnL
-$0.29
Record
51%
1285-1221 (2506)
Invested
$4.01
Value
$5.21
PnL
+$1.2
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
Invested
$3.28
Value
β
PnL
-$3.28
Record
51%
3088-2980 (6068)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
44%
1886-2437 (4323)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.81
Value
β
PnL
-$1.81
Record
32%
943-1979 (2922)
Invested
$1.43
Value
β
PnL
-$1.43
Record
47%
1924-2156 (4080)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
Invested
$0.82
Value
β
PnL
-$0.82
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $383

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $44.08
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $15.49

ohioism
Up β $9.49
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
rabadabadoo
Up β $14.64
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $5.6