Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 62%
$2.1K
-$599.58
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2.26 | 62% 389-237 (626) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $503.8 | β | -$493.53 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98Β’ | $280.27 | $286 | +$5.73 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 52.1Β’ | $52.95 | $95.17 | +$42.22 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.1Β’ | $68.51 | β | -$68.51 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 60.1Β’ | $64.47 | $64.32 | +$9.15 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 54Β’ | $49.77 | β | -$49.77 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.5Β’ | $34.22 | β | -$29.32 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.6Β’ | $26.32 | β | -$26.32 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $21.62 | $23 | +$1.38 | 32% 936-1965 (2901) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $16.9 | $20.15 | +$6.7 | 38% 1273-2090 (3363) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 20.1Β’ | $3.97 | $18.83 | +$14.87 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $16.45 | $35 | +$18.55 | 48% 1122-1203 (2325) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 45.5Β’ | $8.89 | $17.14 | +$8.25 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 52.6Β’ | $11.53 | $16.88 | +$5.35 | 46% 1332-1572 (2904) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $5.26 | $8.62 | +$3.36 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 47% 1910-2144 (4054) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $3.45 | β | -$3.45 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $0.43 | β | -$0.43 | 51% 1269-1214 (2483) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.1Β’ | $51.52 | β | -$51.52 | 46% 2495-2986 (5481) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$2.26
Record
62%
389-237 (626)
Invested
$503.8
Value
β
PnL
-$493.53
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$280.27
Value
$286
PnL
+$5.73
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
Invested
$52.95
Value
$95.17
PnL
+$42.22
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
Invested
$68.51
Value
β
PnL
-$68.51
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Invested
$64.47
Value
$64.32
PnL
+$9.15
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$49.77
Value
β
PnL
-$49.77
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$34.22
Value
β
PnL
-$29.32
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
Invested
$26.32
Value
β
PnL
-$26.32
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$21.62
Value
$23
PnL
+$1.38
Record
32%
936-1965 (2901)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$16.9
Value
$20.15
PnL
+$6.7
Record
38%
1273-2090 (3363)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.97
Value
$18.83
PnL
+$14.87
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
Invested
$16.45
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.55
Record
48%
1122-1203 (2325)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.89
Value
$17.14
PnL
+$8.25
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
Invested
$11.53
Value
$16.88
PnL
+$5.35
Record
46%
1332-1572 (2904)
Invested
$5.26
Value
$8.62
PnL
+$3.36
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
47%
1910-2144 (4054)
Invested
$3.45
Value
β
PnL
-$3.45
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
Invested
$0.43
Value
β
PnL
-$0.43
Record
51%
1269-1214 (2483)
Invested
$51.52
Value
β
PnL
-$51.52
Record
46%
2495-2986 (5481)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $286
soswald1
Up β $95.17
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $64.32
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0

pspspsps5
Up β $23