Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 67%
$2.2K
-$49.67
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$3.72 | 62% 389-237 (626) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 81.1Β’ | $55.21 | $64.41 | +$9.2 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 75.5Β’ | $32.59 | $30 | -$2.59 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 80.6Β’ | $36.44 | $32.17 | -$4.27 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.9Β’ | $32.33 | β | -$32.33 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $15.59 | $30 | +$14.41 | 47% 1953-2201 (4154) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 42.8Β’ | $35.85 | β | -$25.95 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 70.8Β’ | $19.62 | $15.53 | -$4.1 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $25.43 | $11.55 | +$1.84 | 46% 2495-2986 (5481) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $11.67 | $10 | -$1.67 | 38% 1273-2090 (3363) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 71% 1451-591 (2042) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 58% 4908-3582 (8490) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $0.99 | $1.87 | +$0.88 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.38 | β | -$0.38 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.3Β’ | $4.65 | β | -$4.65 | 47% 1910-2144 (4054) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.6Β’ | $7.44 | β | -$7.44 | 46% 1332-1572 (2904) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$3.72
Record
62%
389-237 (626)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$55.21
Value
$64.41
PnL
+$9.2
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
Invested
$32.59
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.59
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Invested
$36.44
Value
$32.17
PnL
-$4.27
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
Invested
$32.33
Value
β
PnL
-$32.33
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$15.59
Value
$30
PnL
+$14.41
Record
47%
1953-2201 (4154)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$35.85
Value
β
PnL
-$25.95
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
Invested
$19.62
Value
$15.53
PnL
-$4.1
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
Invested
$25.43
Value
$11.55
PnL
+$1.84
Record
46%
2495-2986 (5481)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.67
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.67
Record
38%
1273-2090 (3363)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
71%
1451-591 (2042)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
58%
4908-3582 (8490)
Invested
$0.99
Value
$1.87
PnL
+$0.88
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.38
Value
β
PnL
-$0.38
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
Invested
$4.65
Value
β
PnL
-$4.65
Record
47%
1910-2144 (4054)
Invested
$7.44
Value
β
PnL
-$7.44
Record
46%
1332-1572 (2904)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
blue.birds
Up β $64.41
asdcaxz
Up β $30
ply-pm2
Up β $32.17
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $30

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
soswald1
Up β $15.53
suntori
Up β $11.55