Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Down 65%
$726.42
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 62% 389-237 (626) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $439.26 | $444.88 | +$5.62 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $97.89 | $78 | -$19.89 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $97.24 | $70.93 | -$21.63 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 75.1¢ | $100.51 | $56 | -$3.57 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $25.75 | $40 | +$14.25 | 71% 1451-591 (2042) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $16.67 | — | -$16.67 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $16.38 | $28 | +$11.62 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $24.75 | — | -$24.75 | 46% 2495-2986 (5481) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $7.84 | $8.61 | +$0.77 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.32 | — | -$4.32 | 46% 1332-1572 (2904) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $2.67 | — | -$2.67 | 38% 1273-2090 (3363) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 51% 880-838 (1718) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.8¢ | $4.78 | — | -$4.78 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.7¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 32% 936-1965 (2901) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.7¢ | $14.73 | — | -$12.9 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
389-237 (626)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$439.26
Value
$444.88
PnL
+$5.62
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
Invested
$97.89
Value
$78
PnL
-$19.89
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$97.24
Value
$70.93
PnL
-$21.63
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$100.51
Value
$56
PnL
-$3.57
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$25.75
Value
$40
PnL
+$14.25
Record
71%
1451-591 (2042)
Invested
$16.67
Value
—
PnL
-$16.67
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
Invested
$16.38
Value
$28
PnL
+$11.62
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
Invested
$24.75
Value
—
PnL
-$24.75
Record
46%
2495-2986 (5481)
Invested
$7.84
Value
$8.61
PnL
+$0.77
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
Invested
$4.32
Value
—
PnL
-$4.32
Record
46%
1332-1572 (2904)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.67
Value
—
PnL
-$2.67
Record
38%
1273-2090 (3363)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
51%
880-838 (1718)
Invested
$4.78
Value
—
PnL
-$4.78
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
32%
936-1965 (2901)
Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
Invested
$14.73
Value
—
PnL
-$12.9
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $444.88
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $78
asdcaxz
Up — $70.93
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $56
BoneOhio
Up — $40
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $28
suntori
CTRDown — $0