Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 62% 389-237 (626) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 94.5¢ | $818.17 | $865.41 | +$47.24 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $685 | -$15.33 | 51% 3061-2966 (6027) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.1¢ | $510.26 | $490 | +$1.54 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.1¢ | $245.95 | — | -$249.36 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $244.51 | $490 | +$250.9 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $180.89 | $187 | +$6.11 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 55.3¢ | $88.04 | $122.4 | +$40.26 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 74.5¢ | $162.43 | $121.95 | -$39.38 | 50% 4185-4256 (8441) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 49.3¢ | $67.68 | $74.44 | +$6.76 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $57.85 | $63.21 | +$5.36 | 38% 1273-2090 (3363) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $47.9 | $57.56 | +$9.66 | 47% 1910-2144 (4054) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $67.23 | $63.08 | -$4.15 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.1¢ | $24.03 | — | -$24.03 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $39.62 | $43.5 | +$3.88 | 32% 936-1965 (2901) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $17.71 | $22 | +$4.29 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.1¢ | $8.44 | — | -$8.44 | 46% 1332-1572 (2904) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 58.1¢ | $4.75 | $8.18 | +$3.43 | 46% 2495-2986 (5481) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $3.66 | $6 | +$2.34 | 51% 880-838 (1718) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.4¢ | $4.44 | — | -$4.44 | 52% 2431-2242 (4673) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1256-2094 (3350) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.3¢ | $9.81 | — | -$9.81 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 47% 1953-2201 (4154) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
62%
389-237 (626)
Invested
$818.17
Value
$865.41
PnL
+$47.24
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
Invested
$750
Value
$685
PnL
-$15.33
Record
51%
3061-2966 (6027)
Invested
$510.26
Value
$490
PnL
+$1.54
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Both legs:
Invested
$180.89
Value
$187
PnL
+$6.11
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$88.04
Value
$122.4
PnL
+$40.26
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
Invested
$162.43
Value
$121.95
PnL
-$39.38
Record
50%
4185-4256 (8441)
Invested
$67.68
Value
$74.44
PnL
+$6.76
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$57.85
Value
$63.21
PnL
+$5.36
Record
38%
1273-2090 (3363)
Invested
$47.9
Value
$57.56
PnL
+$9.66
Record
47%
1910-2144 (4054)
Invested
$67.23
Value
$63.08
PnL
-$4.15
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
Invested
$24.03
Value
—
PnL
-$24.03
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$39.62
Value
$43.5
PnL
+$3.88
Record
32%
936-1965 (2901)
Invested
$17.71
Value
$22
PnL
+$4.29
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
Invested
$8.44
Value
—
PnL
-$8.44
Record
46%
1332-1572 (2904)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$8.18
PnL
+$3.43
Record
46%
2495-2986 (5481)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.34
Record
51%
880-838 (1718)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.44
Value
—
PnL
-$4.44
Record
52%
2431-2242 (4673)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1256-2094 (3350)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.81
Value
—
PnL
-$9.81
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
47%
1953-2201 (4154)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $865.41
soswald1
Up — $685
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $187
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $122.4
asdcaxz
Up — $121.95
blue.birds
Up — $74.44
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $63.21
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $57.56