Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
$64.09
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$2.96 | 63% 384-230 (614) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $766.39 | $776.76 | +$35.39 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $517.62 | $505 | +$6.65 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $253.7 | $505 | +$253.85 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.3¢ | $246.52 | — | -$247.2 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $153.67 | $155.22 | +$1.55 | 98% 3242-69 (3311) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $124.08 | $118.46 | -$5.62 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 54.9¢ | $75.35 | $110 | +$34.65 | 51% 1978-1872 (3850) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 87.2¢ | $27.9 | $32 | +$4.1 | 38% 1261-2069 (3330) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 41.5¢ | $12.45 | $30 | +$17.55 | 47% 1939-2183 (4122) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $20.99 | $30.91 | +$9.92 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $24.5 | — | -$24.5 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $18.2 | $35 | +$16.8 | 47% 1893-2128 (4021) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 56.9¢ | $9.8 | $17.21 | +$7.41 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $10.58 | $17.07 | +$6.49 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 48% 1870-2057 (3927) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 52% 2416-2220 (4636) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 50% 694-702 (1396) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $6.85 | — | -$5.1 | 44% 1860-2404 (4264) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.9¢ | $40.88 | — | -$29.89 | 45% 2465-2964 (5429) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $0.15 | $0.26 | +$0.11 | 51% 4490-4374 (8864) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$2.96
Record
63%
384-230 (614)
Invested
$766.39
Value
$776.76
PnL
+$35.39
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
Invested
$517.62
Value
$505
PnL
+$6.65
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
Invested
$153.67
Value
$155.22
PnL
+$1.55
Record
98%
3242-69 (3311)
Invested
$124.08
Value
$118.46
PnL
-$5.62
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$75.35
Value
$110
PnL
+$34.65
Record
51%
1978-1872 (3850)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
$32
PnL
+$4.1
Record
38%
1261-2069 (3330)
Invested
$12.45
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.55
Record
47%
1939-2183 (4122)
Invested
$20.99
Value
$30.91
PnL
+$9.92
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
Invested
$24.5
Value
—
PnL
-$24.5
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
Invested
$18.2
Value
$35
PnL
+$16.8
Record
47%
1893-2128 (4021)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$17.21
PnL
+$7.41
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$10.58
Value
$17.07
PnL
+$6.49
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
48%
1870-2057 (3927)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
52%
2416-2220 (4636)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
50%
694-702 (1396)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6.85
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
44%
1860-2404 (4264)
Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
Invested
$40.88
Value
—
PnL
-$29.89
Record
45%
2465-2964 (5429)
Invested
$0.15
Value
$0.26
PnL
+$0.11
Record
51%
4490-4374 (8864)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $776.76
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $155.22
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $118.46
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $110
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $32
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $30
blue.birds
Down — $30.91
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0