Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 41%
1 arb excluded
$2.4K
-$19.45
Smart Money Signal
9 of 22 top traders (41%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$4.06 | 63% 384-230 (614) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $515.84 | $498 | -$2.45 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $251.16 | $498 | +$249 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $249.97 | — | -$251.45 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $162.31 | $164 | +$1.69 | 98% 3242-69 (3311) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $97.89 | $77.66 | -$20.23 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 75.2¢ | $67.71 | $78.16 | +$10.45 | 51% 3032-2944 (5976) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $31.05 | $45 | +$13.95 | 71% 1442-587 (2029) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $52.15 | $31 | +$3.5 | 51% 1978-1872 (3850) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $21.48 | $31.35 | +$9.87 | 45% 2465-2964 (5429) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83.9¢ | $16.69 | $19.89 | +$3.19 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $8.63 | $16.92 | +$8.29 | 50% 1696-1707 (3403) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.3¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 46% 1322-1555 (2877) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $2.26 | — | -$2.26 | 52% 2416-2220 (4636) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 32% 925-1945 (2870) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 48% 1110-1196 (2306) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.6¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 38% 1261-2069 (3330) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 44% 1860-2404 (4264) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9¢ | $6.45 | — | -$6.45 | 54% 2104-1796 (3900) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $2.3 | — | -$2.3 | 47% 1939-2183 (4122) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4¢ | $11.99 | — | -$11.99 | 47% 1893-2128 (4021) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.5¢ | $8.9 | — | -$8.9 | 48% 1870-2057 (3927) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$4.06
Record
63%
384-230 (614)
Invested
$515.84
Value
$498
PnL
-$2.45
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Both legs:
Invested
$162.31
Value
$164
PnL
+$1.69
Record
98%
3242-69 (3311)
Invested
$97.89
Value
$77.66
PnL
-$20.23
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$67.71
Value
$78.16
PnL
+$10.45
Record
51%
3032-2944 (5976)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$31.05
Value
$45
PnL
+$13.95
Record
71%
1442-587 (2029)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$52.15
Value
$31
PnL
+$3.5
Record
51%
1978-1872 (3850)
Invested
$21.48
Value
$31.35
PnL
+$9.87
Record
45%
2465-2964 (5429)
Invested
$16.69
Value
$19.89
PnL
+$3.19
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
Invested
$8.63
Value
$16.92
PnL
+$8.29
Record
50%
1696-1707 (3403)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
46%
1322-1555 (2877)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.26
Value
—
PnL
-$2.26
Record
52%
2416-2220 (4636)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
32%
925-1945 (2870)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
48%
1110-1196 (2306)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
38%
1261-2069 (3330)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
44%
1860-2404 (4264)
Invested
$6.45
Value
—
PnL
-$6.45
Record
54%
2104-1796 (3900)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$2.3
Record
47%
1939-2183 (4122)
Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
Invested
$11.99
Value
—
PnL
-$11.99
Record
47%
1893-2128 (4021)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.9
Record
48%
1870-2057 (3927)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $164
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $77.66
soswald1
Up — $78.16
BoneOhio
Up — $45
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $31
suntori
Up — $31.35
aaa221
Up — $19.89
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $16.92