Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 61%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$55.99

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 19 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,719

Combined PnL+$100.62

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares238

Combined PnL-$156.61

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$3.47	63% 384-230 (614)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$510.1	$502.99	+$8.44	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$246.41	—	-$246
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$251.49	$502.99	+$254.44
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$116.82	$118	+$1.18	98% 3242-69 (3311)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 61.7¢	$42.09	$48.93	+$6.84	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 58.3¢	$33.15	$34.03	+$0.88	51% 3032-2944 (5976)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 40.6¢	$29.48	—	-$25.77	54% 2104-1796 (3900)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 97¢	$35.8	$30	-$5.8	47% 1939-2183 (4122)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 65.5¢	$34.7	—	-$34.7	50% 1696-1707 (3403)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 43.8¢	$43.36	—	-$37.81	50% 4163-4232 (8395)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 85.7¢	$43.55	$20	-$6.75	51% 1978-1872 (3850)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$10.68	—	-$5.78	52% 4799-4479 (9278)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 93¢	$13.95	$15	+$1.05	71% 1442-587 (2029)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 48.9¢	$15.34	—	-$15.34	46% 1322-1555 (2877)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 83.5¢	$8.35	$10	+$1.65	52% 2416-2220 (4636)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 63¢	$35.77	—	-$33.55	47% 1893-2128 (4021)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 20.9¢	$4.6	$22.05	+$17.45	38% 1261-2069 (3330)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 61¢	$3.66	—	-$3.66	58% 4903-3576 (8479)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 23¢	$1.38	$6	+$4.62	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 30¢	$0.81	$2.71	+$1.9	60% 3365-2262 (5627)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 25.3¢	$37.36	$0.01	+$81.07	45% 2465-2964 (5429)