Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 61%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$57.55

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 19 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$2.0K

Total Shares1,956

Combined PnL+$114.42

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares203

Combined PnL-$56.87

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$3.83	63% 384-230 (614)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$501.29	$502.53	+$4.54	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$251.29	$502.53	+$251.24
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	—	-$246.7
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 67.4¢	$85.63	$115.4	+$29.77	51% 1978-1872 (3850)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 71.6¢	$69.99	$97.79	+$27.8	51% 3032-2944 (5976)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 93.8¢	$76.11	$81.12	+$5.01	32% 925-1945 (2870)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 60.2¢	$36.45	$38.65	+$2.2	54% 2104-1796 (3900)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 58.5¢	$21.58	$30	+$8.42	51% 2869-2774 (5643)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$14.79	$30	+$15.21	52% 4799-4479 (9278)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 69.5¢	$34.73	$50	+$15.27	50% 1696-1707 (3403)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 15.6¢	$41.09	—	-$22.01	50% 4163-4232 (8395)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 29.1¢	$13.48	—	-$13.48	46% 1322-1555 (2877)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 95.1¢	$13.07	$13.74	+$0.67	45% 2465-2964 (5429)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 87.5¢	$8.75	$10	+$1.25	52% 2416-2220 (4636)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.2	$10.2	+$5	51% 875-831 (1706)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	47% 1893-2128 (4021)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	71% 1442-587 (2029)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 28.7¢	$11.27	—	-$11.27	48% 1870-2057 (3927)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$3	—	-$3	44% 1860-2404 (4264)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$1.74	—	-$1.74	41% 1393-1983 (3376)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$0.18	—	-$0.18	47% 1939-2183 (4122)