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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 59%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$60.94

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 17 top traders (59%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders
Total Value$452.72
Total Shares453
Combined PnL+$107.43
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares231
Combined PnL-$168.38
Up β€” 59%Down β€” 41%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$19.72

Record

63%

384-230 (614)

Both legs:

Up$694.0750Β’+$684.74
Down$678.6250Β’-$665.02
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$508.5

Value

$496

PnL

-$11.58

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

Both legs:

Down$258.550.7Β’-$258.5
Up$24850Β’+$246.92
AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$136.01

Value

$155.63

PnL

+$28.77

Record

50%

4163-4232 (8395)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$110.88

Value

$112

PnL

+$1.12

Record

98%

3242-69 (3311)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$54.23

Value

$81.66

PnL

+$27.43

Record

52%

4799-4479 (9278)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$31.89

Value

β€”

PnL

-$31.89

Record

51%

2869-2774 (5643)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$66.26

Value

β€”

PnL

-$48.11

Record

51%

1978-1872 (3850)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$17.23

Value

$32

PnL

+$14.77

Record

51%

3032-2944 (5976)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$7.32

Value

$21.3

PnL

+$13.98

Record

52%

2416-2220 (4636)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$34.95

Value

β€”

PnL

-$34.95

Record

54%

2104-1796 (3900)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$14.94

Value

$17.81

PnL

+$2.87

Record

45%

2465-2964 (5429)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.76

Value

β€”

PnL

-$7.76

Record

38%

570-919 (1489)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$7.65

Value

$5

PnL

-$2.65

Record

48%

1870-2057 (3927)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$49.67

Value

β€”

PnL

-$43.17

Record

60%

3365-2262 (5627)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$3.14

Value

$16.32

PnL

+$13.18

Record

46%

1322-1555 (2877)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.45

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.45

Record

47%

1939-2183 (4122)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$1.38

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.62

Record

41%

1393-1983 (3376)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$1.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.35

Record

44%

1860-2404 (4264)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1244-2078 (3322)