Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$11.5

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 20 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,781

Combined PnL+$83.95

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares531

Combined PnL-$95.45

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$16.92	63% 378-225 (603)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$495	-$1.9	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$248.1
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 63.2¢	$43.6	$64.27	+$20.68	50% 4145-4216 (8361)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$48.51	$49.5	+$0.99	98% 3197-68 (3265)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 58¢	$47.78	$82.35	+$34.57	50% 1684-1697 (3381)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 66.3¢	$30.02	$40.21	+$10.19	51% 3014-2926 (5940)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 65¢	$25.55	$21	-$4.55	71% 1440-584 (2024)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 52.5¢	$47.45	—	-$47.45	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 79.7¢	$32.64	$20	+$2.21	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 64¢	$16.37	$15	-$1.37	54% 2087-1785 (3872)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 62.6¢	$11.73	$15.57	+$3.84	47% 1885-2113 (3998)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 38.7¢	$14.34	—	-$14.34	46% 1316-1543 (2859)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$4.34	—	-$4.34	51% 1257-1197 (2454)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$2.26	—	-$2.26	32% 922-1922 (2844)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 5.5¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	52% 2405-2202 (4607)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Downavg 53¢	$0.53	$1	+$0.47	39% 566-904 (1470)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 15¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	41% 1381-1964 (3345)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	38% 1254-2047 (3301)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 38.9¢	$15.55	—	-$15.55	44% 1849-2382 (4231)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 38.4¢	$5.38	—	-$5.38	47% 1925-2172 (4097)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	$0.38	—	-$0.38	48% 1860-2039 (3899)