Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 44%
2 arb excluded
$2.4K
-$33.24
Smart Money Signal
7 of 16 top traders (44%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$8.8 | 63% 378-225 (603) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $1.5K | +$750 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $737.56 | — | -$741.2 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $516.33 | $505 | -$0.65 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.8¢ | $256.35 | $505 | +$248.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $244.91 | — | -$249.3 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $164.11 | $166.45 | +$2.34 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $73.55 | $72.48 | -$0.22 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $51.18 | $49.38 | -$1.8 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $33.54 | $36 | +$2.46 | 52% 4780-4466 (9246) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $33.13 | $26.9 | -$0.32 | 51% 1963-1859 (3822) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 52.3¢ | $14.28 | $20.07 | +$5.79 | 46% 1316-1543 (2859) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $16.79 | — | -$16.79 | 50% 1684-1697 (3381) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 48% 1104-1185 (2289) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.94 | — | -$2.94 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.9¢ | $2.03 | — | -$2.03 | 52% 2405-2202 (4607) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5¢ | $0.68 | — | -$0.68 | 32% 922-1922 (2844) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.6¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2¢ | $7.05 | — | -$7.05 | 44% 1849-2382 (4231) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $3.75 | — | -$3.75 | 47% 1885-2113 (3998) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$8.8
Record
63%
378-225 (603)
Both legs:
Invested
$516.33
Value
$505
PnL
-$0.65
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$164.11
Value
$166.45
PnL
+$2.34
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$73.55
Value
$72.48
PnL
-$0.22
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
Invested
$51.18
Value
$49.38
PnL
-$1.8
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$33.54
Value
$36
PnL
+$2.46
Record
52%
4780-4466 (9246)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$33.13
Value
$26.9
PnL
-$0.32
Record
51%
1963-1859 (3822)
Invested
$14.28
Value
$20.07
PnL
+$5.79
Record
46%
1316-1543 (2859)
Invested
$16.79
Value
—
PnL
-$16.79
Record
50%
1684-1697 (3381)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
48%
1104-1185 (2289)
Invested
$2.94
Value
—
PnL
-$2.94
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
—
PnL
-$2.03
Record
52%
2405-2202 (4607)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.68
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
32%
922-1922 (2844)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.05
Value
—
PnL
-$7.05
Record
44%
1849-2382 (4231)
Invested
$3.75
Value
—
PnL
-$3.75
Record
47%
1885-2113 (3998)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $166.45
asdcaxz
Up — $72.48
ply-pm2
Up — $49.38
blue.birds
Up — $36
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $26.9
rabadabadoo
Up — $20.07
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
PBot-5
Up — $11