Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 37%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

-$403.04

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 19 top traders (37%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,511

Combined PnL+$63.9

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares710

Combined PnL-$466.94

Down — 37%Up — 63%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$11.24	63% 378-225 (603)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$507.1	$490.01	-$1.52	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$241.77	$490.01	+$249.7
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$252.97	—	-$251.22
AS asdcaxzCTR	Upavg 45.2¢	$204.76	—	-$194.42	50% 4145-4216 (8361)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 50¢	$116.8	—	-$112.12	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98¢	$98	$100	+$2	98% 3197-68 (3265)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 54.6¢	$61.89	—	-$44.08	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 34.9¢	$33.78	$61.51	+$27.73	51% 3014-2926 (5940)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 55.1¢	$44.78	$41.69	-$3.09	46% 1316-1543 (2859)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 30.4¢	$41.8	—	-$38.25	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 55¢	$15.8	—	-$15.11	60% 3347-2246 (5593)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 68¢	$10.5	$15.43	+$4.93	44% 1849-2382 (4231)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 88¢	$13.35	$15.17	+$1.82	47% 1885-2113 (3998)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$12.35	—	-$12.35	58% 4899-3572 (8471)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 43.7¢	$70.74	—	-$11.25	54% 2087-1785 (3872)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 36.4¢	$10.65	—	-$10.65	39% 566-904 (1470)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 79¢	$7.9	—	-$7.9	52% 2405-2202 (4607)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 57.5¢	$10.92	—	-$10.92	47% 1925-2172 (4097)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 19.8¢	$4.74	$24	+$19.26	38% 1254-2047 (3301)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	$0.82	—	-$0.82	48% 1860-2039 (3899)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 75.5¢	$9.06	—	-$9.06	41% 1381-1964 (3345)