Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 43%
1 arb excluded
$4.0K
-$47.08
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0 | 63% 378-225 (603) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$1.07 | 51% 1257-1197 (2454) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $721.87 | -$8.35 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $360.94 | $721.87 | +$366.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $375 | — | -$375 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $189.09 | $191 | +$1.91 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $43.34 | $57.99 | +$14.65 | 50% 1684-1697 (3381) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $30.03 | — | -$30.03 | 51% 1963-1859 (3822) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $8.97 | $6.61 | -$2.36 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $4.01 | — | -$4.01 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 58% 4899-3572 (8471) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.79 | — | -$2.79 | 51% 864-826 (1690) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 0.2¢ | $1.71 | — | -$1.71 | 46% 1316-1543 (2859) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.2¢ | $18.5 | — | -$18.5 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.6¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 52% 4780-4466 (9246) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
378-225 (603)
Invested
$1,068.93
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$1.07
Record
51%
1257-1197 (2454)
Invested
$750
Value
$721.87
PnL
-$8.35
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Invested
$189.09
Value
$191
PnL
+$1.91
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$43.34
Value
$57.99
PnL
+$14.65
Record
50%
1684-1697 (3381)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30.03
Value
—
PnL
-$30.03
Record
51%
1963-1859 (3822)
Invested
$8.97
Value
$6.61
PnL
-$2.36
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
Invested
$4.01
Value
—
PnL
-$4.01
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
58%
4899-3572 (8471)
Invested
$2.79
Value
—
PnL
-$2.79
Record
51%
864-826 (1690)
Invested
$1.71
Value
—
PnL
-$1.71
Record
46%
1316-1543 (2859)
Invested
$18.5
Value
—
PnL
-$18.5
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
4780-4466 (9246)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
0x50f7
Up — $1.1K
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $191
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $57.99
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $6.61
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0