Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 37%
3 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$739.55
Smart Money Signal
7 of 20 top traders (35%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$0.09 | 63% 378-225 (603) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $720 | $1.4K | +$733.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $719.94 | — | -$733.49 | |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $752 | — | -$713.32 | 51% 3014-2926 (5940) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $504.78 | $500 | +$0.43 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $339.08 | $342.51 | +$3.43 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $80.38 | $64.27 | -$16.11 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20.1¢ | $25.97 | — | -$25.97 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 84.7¢ | $54.41 | $64.27 | +$9.86 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $33.12 | $26.99 | -$6.13 | 38% 1254-2047 (3301) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $80.4 | $92 | +$11.6 | 50% 4145-4216 (8361) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 69.4¢ | $63.85 | $92 | +$28.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.5¢ | $16.55 | — | -$16.55 | |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 51% 1257-1197 (2454) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $28.3 | $37 | +$8.7 | 51% 1963-1859 (3822) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.5¢ | $12.25 | — | -$12.25 | 39% 566-904 (1470) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69.5¢ | $31.73 | $30 | -$1.73 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 32% 922-1922 (2844) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $12.48 | — | -$12.48 | 50% 1684-1697 (3381) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 2405-2202 (4607) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $12.25 | $16 | +$3.75 | 46% 1316-1543 (2859) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.1¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $5.83 | $11 | +$5.17 | 58% 4899-3572 (8471) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 60% 3347-2246 (5593) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 44% 1849-2382 (4231) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 47% 1925-2172 (4097) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 48% 1860-2039 (3899) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1240-2064 (3304) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $3.73 | — | -$2.84 | 45% 2420-2899 (5319) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$0.09
Record
63%
378-225 (603)
Both legs:
Invested
$752
Value
—
PnL
-$713.32
Record
51%
3014-2926 (5940)
Invested
$504.78
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.43
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Invested
$339.08
Value
$342.51
PnL
+$3.43
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$80.38
Value
$64.27
PnL
-$16.11
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$33.12
Value
$26.99
PnL
-$6.13
Record
38%
1254-2047 (3301)
Invested
$80.4
Value
$92
PnL
+$11.6
Record
50%
4145-4216 (8361)
Both legs:
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
51%
1257-1197 (2454)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$28.3
Value
$37
PnL
+$8.7
Record
51%
1963-1859 (3822)
Invested
$12.25
Value
—
PnL
-$12.25
Record
39%
566-904 (1470)
Invested
$31.73
Value
$30
PnL
-$1.73
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
32%
922-1922 (2844)
Invested
$12.48
Value
—
PnL
-$12.48
Record
50%
1684-1697 (3381)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
2405-2202 (4607)
Invested
$12.25
Value
$16
PnL
+$3.75
Record
46%
1316-1543 (2859)
Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
Invested
$5.83
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.17
Record
58%
4899-3572 (8471)
Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
60%
3347-2246 (5593)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
44%
1849-2382 (4231)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
47%
1925-2172 (4097)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
48%
1860-2039 (3899)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1240-2064 (3304)
Invested
$3.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.84
Record
45%
2420-2899 (5319)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $342.51
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $26.99
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $37
flippingsharks
CTRDown — $0