Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 41%
1 arb excluded
$9.5K
-$281.08
Smart Money Signal
11 of 27 top traders (41%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.0K | $6.9K | -$61.95 | 51% 1235-1184 (2419) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $962.28 | $972 | +$9.72 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $819.34 | +$16.91 | 64% 368-211 (579) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $501.39 | $485.08 | -$3.98 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $242.54 | $485.08 | +$246.42 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.3¢ | $250.74 | — | -$250.4 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 50% 1672-1674 (3346) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $89.5 | $88.47 | +$8.83 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 87.4¢ | $68.41 | $57.27 | -$11.14 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5¢ | $31.5 | — | -$31.5 | 51% 4461-4339 (8800) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $28.6 | — | -$28.6 | 50% 1219-1216 (2435) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2¢ | $25.73 | — | -$25.73 | 49% 1204-1240 (2444) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.9¢ | $30.62 | — | -$30.62 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.2¢ | $23.87 | — | -$23.87 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90.3¢ | $30.24 | $23.5 | +$2.69 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $20.42 | $18.23 | -$2.19 | 46% 1295-1519 (2814) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2¢ | $12.32 | — | -$12.32 | 33% 909-1883 (2792) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.2¢ | $10.85 | — | -$10.85 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.6¢ | $9.34 | — | -$9.34 | 51% 849-816 (1665) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.9¢ | $7.9 | — | -$7.9 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $14.53 | $8.8 | -$4.83 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $10.69 | $7.5 | -$3.19 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.4¢ | $7.23 | — | -$7.23 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.8¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $9.4 | $5.6 | -$3.2 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
Invested
$7,010.97
Value
$6.9K
PnL
-$61.95
Record
51%
1235-1184 (2419)
Invested
$962.28
Value
$972
PnL
+$9.72
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$819.34
PnL
+$16.91
Record
64%
368-211 (579)
Invested
$501.39
Value
$485.08
PnL
-$3.98
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
50%
1672-1674 (3346)
Invested
$89.5
Value
$88.47
PnL
+$8.83
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$68.41
Value
$57.27
PnL
-$11.14
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
Invested
$31.5
Value
—
PnL
-$31.5
Record
51%
4461-4339 (8800)
Invested
$28.6
Value
—
PnL
-$28.6
Record
50%
1219-1216 (2435)
Invested
$25.73
Value
—
PnL
-$25.73
Record
49%
1204-1240 (2444)
Invested
$30.62
Value
—
PnL
-$30.62
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$23.87
Value
—
PnL
-$23.87
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$30.24
Value
$23.5
PnL
+$2.69
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$20.42
Value
$18.23
PnL
-$2.19
Record
46%
1295-1519 (2814)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$12.32
Value
—
PnL
-$12.32
Record
33%
909-1883 (2792)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$10.85
Value
—
PnL
-$10.85
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$9.34
Record
51%
849-816 (1665)
Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$7.9
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Invested
$14.53
Value
$8.8
PnL
-$4.83
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.69
Value
$7.5
PnL
-$3.19
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.23
Value
—
PnL
-$7.23
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$5.6
PnL
-$3.2
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $6.9K
hoodquant
Up — $972
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $819.34
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $111
asdcaxz
Up — $88.47
blue.birds
Up — $57.27
bosona
CTRDown — $0
almach
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
CTRDown — $0