Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$763.85

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Down

21 of 27 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed21 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down21 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,430

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Up6 traders

Total Value$273.84

Total Shares274

Combined PnL+$28.79

Down — 78%Up — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.1K	64% 368-211 (579)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$506.5	$490.01	-$10.7	55% 3034-2491 (5525)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490.01	+$245.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$256.5	—	-$256.5
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$120.78	$122	+$1.22	98% 3131-65 (3196)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 76.7¢	$47.64	$56.13	+$8.49	52% 4742-4430 (9172)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 79.1¢	$46.44	$57.71	+$11.27	60% 3298-2213 (5511)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 10.9¢	$21.24	—	-$21.24	41% 1336-1928 (3264)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 6.1¢	$79.73	—	-$79.73	51% 1235-1184 (2419)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 28.6¢	$24.3	—	-$24.3	51% 1930-1826 (3756)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 26.1¢	$13.55	—	-$13.55	54% 2059-1752 (3811)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 54¢	$14.72	$16	+$1.28	47% 1892-2135 (4027)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 17.8¢	$16.83	—	-$16.83	33% 909-1883 (2792)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 20.3¢	$11.78	—	-$11.78	50% 1672-1674 (3346)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 47¢	$9.77	$16	+$6.23	48% 1833-1999 (3832)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 14.2¢	$7.96	—	-$7.96	51% 2976-2895 (5871)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 24.8¢	$30.73	—	-$29.86	49% 4099-4182 (8281)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$4.46	—	-$4.46	51% 4461-4339 (8800)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$5.55	—	-$5.55	47% 1854-2076 (3930)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 95¢	$5.7	$6	+$0.3	63% 3717-2213 (5930)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$3.37	—	-$3.37	51% 2812-2714 (5526)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 43.5¢	$4.66	—	-$4.66	46% 1295-1519 (2814)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	50% 2202-2243 (4445)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	64% 2208-1239 (3447)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 22.5¢	$21.54	—	-$21.54	39% 559-877 (1436)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 10.9¢	$0.85	—	-$0.85	52% 2385-2166 (4551)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 26.8¢	$22.42	—	-$22.42	46% 2359-2814 (5173)