Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 56%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
-$57.08
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$4.82 | 64% 368-211 (579) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $981.18 | $992 | +$10.82 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $500.59 | $498.59 | -$1 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $249.3 | $498.59 | +$249.59 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $250.59 | — | -$250.59 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $72.46 | $50.82 | -$21.64 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.6¢ | $40.88 | $35.68 | -$5.2 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $31.88 | — | -$31.88 | 49% 1087-1154 (2241) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 73.6¢ | $78.94 | $25 | -$1.65 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $13.22 | $16 | +$2.78 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $8.4 | $20 | +$11.6 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $6.64 | — | -$6.64 | 51% 1235-1184 (2419) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $9.6 | $10 | +$0.4 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $5.83 | $11 | +$5.17 | 58% 4878-3558 (8436) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.8¢ | $4.15 | — | -$4.15 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $2.2 | $5 | +$2.8 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | $3.21 | — | -$3.21 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.2¢ | $16.8 | — | -$9.66 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 46% 1295-1519 (2814) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$4.82
Record
64%
368-211 (579)
Invested
$981.18
Value
$992
PnL
+$10.82
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$500.59
Value
$498.59
PnL
-$1
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$72.46
Value
$50.82
PnL
-$21.64
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$40.88
Value
$35.68
PnL
-$5.2
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$31.88
Value
—
PnL
-$31.88
Record
49%
1087-1154 (2241)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$78.94
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.65
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
Invested
$13.22
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.78
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.6
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$6.64
Value
—
PnL
-$6.64
Record
51%
1235-1184 (2419)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.4
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
Invested
$5.83
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.17
Record
58%
4878-3558 (8436)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
—
PnL
-$4.15
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$2.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.8
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.21
Value
—
PnL
-$3.21
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Invested
$16.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.66
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
46%
1295-1519 (2814)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
hoodquant
Up — $992
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $50.82
ply-pm2
Up — $35.68
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $25
blue.birds
Up — $16
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $20
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0