Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 62%
$1.1K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 26 top traders (62%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 368-211 (579) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750.9 | $715.01 | +$8.17 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.8¢ | $501.48 | — | -$495.48 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 73.1¢ | $142.12 | $145.31 | +$7.65 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $115.83 | $117 | +$1.17 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $48.94 | — | -$48.94 | 49% 1087-1154 (2241) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 64.3¢ | $79.41 | $40.57 | -$2.05 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 60.8¢ | $29.91 | $26 | -$3.91 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $17 | $25 | +$8 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96.7¢ | $37.92 | $24.62 | -$2.71 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $16.32 | — | -$16.32 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 74.8¢ | $13.06 | $15.8 | +$2.91 | 46% 1295-1519 (2814) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $12.53 | — | -$12.53 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $6.57 | $18 | +$11.43 | 51% 849-816 (1665) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $9.5 | — | -$9.5 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $9.34 | $9.73 | +$0.39 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.6¢ | $5.59 | — | -$5.59 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | $12.61 | — | -$12.61 | 39% 559-877 (1436) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 50% 1672-1674 (3346) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5¢ | $1.81 | — | -$1.81 | 33% 909-1883 (2792) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
368-211 (579)
Invested
$750.9
Value
$715.01
PnL
+$8.17
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$501.48
Value
—
PnL
-$495.48
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$142.12
Value
$145.31
PnL
+$7.65
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$115.83
Value
$117
PnL
+$1.17
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$48.94
Value
—
PnL
-$48.94
Record
49%
1087-1154 (2241)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$79.41
Value
$40.57
PnL
-$2.05
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
Invested
$29.91
Value
$26
PnL
-$3.91
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$17
Value
$25
PnL
+$8
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
Invested
$37.92
Value
$24.62
PnL
-$2.71
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$16.32
Value
—
PnL
-$16.32
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$13.06
Value
$15.8
PnL
+$2.91
Record
46%
1295-1519 (2814)
Invested
$12.53
Value
—
PnL
-$12.53
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Invested
$6.57
Value
$18
PnL
+$11.43
Record
51%
849-816 (1665)
Invested
$9.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
Invested
$9.34
Value
$9.73
PnL
+$0.39
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.59
Value
—
PnL
-$5.59
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Invested
$12.61
Value
—
PnL
-$12.61
Record
39%
559-877 (1436)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
50%
1672-1674 (3346)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.81
Value
—
PnL
-$1.81
Record
33%
909-1883 (2792)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $715.01
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
Up — $145.31
hoodquant
Up — $117
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $40.57
ply-pm2
Up — $26
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $25
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $24.62