Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
25
Down 72%
$442.62
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 25 top traders (72%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 368-211 (579) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$723.3 | 51% 2976-2895 (5871) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $504.6 | — | -$499.2 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 37.8¢ | $49.83 | $131.75 | +$81.92 | 48% 156-171 (327) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $93.06 | $94 | +$0.94 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $88.87 | $93.3 | +$4.43 | 50% 1672-1674 (3346) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 53.2¢ | $41.88 | $44.3 | +$2.42 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 86.1¢ | $104.37 | $32.27 | +$0.63 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $31.63 | $27 | -$4.63 | 38% 1240-1996 (3236) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $16.78 | $20 | +$3.22 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $20.6 | — | -$20.6 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $27.17 | — | -$27.17 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.3¢ | $16.47 | — | -$16.47 | 49% 1087-1154 (2241) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $33.72 | — | -$33.72 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $7.37 | — | -$7.37 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.7¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $4.88 | — | -$4.88 | 46% 1295-1519 (2814) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $27.62 | — | -$19.04 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.6¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 52% 2385-2166 (4551) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.4¢ | $31.33 | — | +$0.74 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.9¢ | $0.51 | — | -$0.51 | 33% 909-1883 (2792) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.7¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
368-211 (579)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$723.3
Record
51%
2976-2895 (5871)
Invested
$504.6
Value
—
PnL
-$499.2
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.83
Value
$131.75
PnL
+$81.92
Record
48%
156-171 (327)
Invested
$93.06
Value
$94
PnL
+$0.94
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$88.87
Value
$93.3
PnL
+$4.43
Record
50%
1672-1674 (3346)
Invested
$41.88
Value
$44.3
PnL
+$2.42
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$104.37
Value
$32.27
PnL
+$0.63
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$31.63
Value
$27
PnL
-$4.63
Record
38%
1240-1996 (3236)
Invested
$16.78
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.22
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$20.6
Value
—
PnL
-$20.6
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
Invested
$27.17
Value
—
PnL
-$27.17
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
Invested
$16.47
Value
—
PnL
-$16.47
Record
49%
1087-1154 (2241)
Invested
$33.72
Value
—
PnL
-$33.72
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Invested
$7.37
Value
—
PnL
-$7.37
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$4.88
Value
—
PnL
-$4.88
Record
46%
1295-1519 (2814)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
Invested
$27.62
Value
—
PnL
-$19.04
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
52%
2385-2166 (4551)
Invested
$31.33
Value
—
PnL
+$0.74
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
33%
909-1883 (2792)
Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
wowitsamazing
Up — $131.75
hoodquant
Up — $94
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $93.3
asdcaxz
Up — $44.3
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $32.27
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $27
blue.birds
Up — $20