Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 65%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$7.8

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$489.29

Total Shares489

Combined PnL+$110.49

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares300

Combined PnL-$118.29

Down — 65%Up — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	-$2.22	64% 368-211 (579)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$667.83	$1.3K	+$675.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$670.75	—	-$677.57
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$504.88	$492	+$7.08	55% 3034-2491 (5525)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$245.61	$492	+$251.98
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$245.3	—	-$244.9
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 56.5¢	$100.44	$108.75	+$9.31	49% 4099-4182 (8281)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$92.63	$58	+$7.25	51% 1930-1826 (3756)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98.9¢	$92.44	$93.47	+$1.04	98% 3131-65 (3196)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 49.2¢	$48.49	$50	+$1.51	51% 2976-2895 (5871)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 47¢	$21.64	$46	+$24.36	49% 1087-1154 (2241)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 45.4¢	$14.97	$33	+$18.03	48% 1833-1999 (3832)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 51.7¢	$36.28	—	-$36.28	50% 1672-1674 (3346)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 51.6¢	$18.56	$36	+$17.44	47% 1892-2135 (4027)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 47¢	$14.1	$30	+$15.9	50% 673-674 (1347)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 30.6¢	$10.52	—	-$10.52	52% 4742-4430 (9172)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$12.46	—	-$12.46	46% 1295-1519 (2814)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 54¢	$2.94	$5	+$2.06	52% 2385-2166 (4551)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 57¢	$9.11	$15	+$5.89	54% 2059-1752 (3811)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 56¢	$6.72	—	-$6.72	58% 4878-3558 (8436)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$2.93	$5.85	+$2.92	44% 1813-2341 (4154)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 61¢	$3.35	$5.49	+$2.14	67% 3145-1560 (4705)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 61.3¢	$10.9	$2.73	+$2.65	63% 3717-2213 (5930)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 1224-2020 (3244)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Upavg 41.5¢	$49.69	—	-$49.69	48% 156-171 (327)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 6.5¢	$2.57	—	-$2.57	50% 2202-2243 (4445)