Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 39%
$1.8K
-$510.17
Smart Money Signal
7 of 18 top traders (39%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$1.2 | 64% 360-206 (566) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $139.59 | $141 | +$1.41 | 98% 3102-65 (3167) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 69.6¢ | $97.3 | $108.71 | +$11.41 | 50% 4078-4158 (8236) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $36.2 | $45 | +$8.8 | 51% 1912-1810 (3722) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $30.72 | $41.36 | +$10.64 | 52% 4724-4405 (9129) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $15.35 | $16.84 | +$1.49 | 54% 2039-1735 (3774) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $6.24 | — | -$6.24 | 49% 1074-1140 (2214) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 47% 1827-2050 (3877) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7¢ | $16.81 | — | -$16.65 | 46% 2333-2789 (5122) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $5.51 | $5.57 | +$0.06 | 46% 1280-1506 (2786) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 71% 1405-563 (1968) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $5.93 | — | -$2.76 | 63% 3684-2190 (5874) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 51% 2954-2869 (5823) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 52% 2361-2151 (4512) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 32% 897-1866 (2763) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.9¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 38% 1221-1978 (3199) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1212-1995 (3207) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$1.2
Record
64%
360-206 (566)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Invested
$139.59
Value
$141
PnL
+$1.41
Record
98%
3102-65 (3167)
Invested
$97.3
Value
$108.71
PnL
+$11.41
Record
50%
4078-4158 (8236)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$36.2
Value
$45
PnL
+$8.8
Record
51%
1912-1810 (3722)
Invested
$30.72
Value
$41.36
PnL
+$10.64
Record
52%
4724-4405 (9129)
Invested
$15.35
Value
$16.84
PnL
+$1.49
Record
54%
2039-1735 (3774)
Invested
$6.24
Value
—
PnL
-$6.24
Record
49%
1074-1140 (2214)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
47%
1827-2050 (3877)
Invested
$16.81
Value
—
PnL
-$16.65
Record
46%
2333-2789 (5122)
Invested
$5.51
Value
$5.57
PnL
+$0.06
Record
46%
1280-1506 (2786)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
71%
1405-563 (1968)
Invested
$5.93
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
63%
3684-2190 (5874)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
51%
2954-2869 (5823)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
52%
2361-2151 (4512)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
32%
897-1866 (2763)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
38%
1221-1978 (3199)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1212-1995 (3207)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $141
asdcaxz
Down — $108.71
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $45
blue.birds
Down — $41.36
ply-pm2
Down — $16.84
PBot-5
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
suntori
CTRUp — $0