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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$30.18

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$225.63

Total Shares226

Combined PnL+$60.51

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares63

Combined PnL-$30.33

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$8.66	64% 360-206 (566)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$728.3	$1.5K	+$724.03
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$737.88	—	-$732.69
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$750	$750	+$10.4	51% 2954-2869 (5823)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$375	$750	+$375
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$366.34	—	-$364.6
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$514.65	$493	-$1.3	55% 2993-2461 (5454)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.6¢	$244.64	$493	+$247.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250.08	—	-$249.1
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Downavg 74¢	$127.62	$116	-$11.62	50% 4078-4158 (8236)
└ Down leg	Downavg 74¢	$112.2	—	-$112.2
└ Up leg	Upavg 13.3¢	$15.42	$116	+$100.58
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 58¢	$66.86	$90.12	+$24.06	52% 4724-4405 (9129)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 45¢	$13.5	$30	+$16.5	47% 1827-2050 (3877)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 77.5¢	$32.79	$30	-$2.79	54% 2039-1735 (3774)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 11.4¢	$3.87	$23.39	+$19.52	52% 2361-2151 (4512)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 81¢	$34.02	$22	-$7.79	51% 1912-1810 (3722)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 57¢	$16.09	—	-$16.09	46% 1280-1506 (2786)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 37.2¢	$8.19	$17.12	+$8.93	44% 1797-2312 (4109)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 42¢	$10.92	$13	+$2.08	67% 3113-1544 (4657)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$2.81	—	-$2.81	48% 1808-1977 (3785)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 72.3¢	$45.86	—	-$9.61	63% 3684-2190 (5874)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.82	—	-$1.82	49% 2171-2227 (4398)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$8.66

Record

64%

360-206 (566)

Both legs:

Up$728.350¢+$724.03

Down$737.8850¢-$732.69

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$750

Value

$750

PnL

+$10.4

Record

51%

2954-2869 (5823)

Both legs:

Up$37550¢+$375

Down$366.3450¢-$364.6

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$514.65

Value

$493

PnL

-$1.3

Record

55%

2993-2461 (5454)

Both legs:

Up$244.6449.6¢+$247.8

Down$250.0850¢-$249.1

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$127.62

Value

$116

PnL

-$11.62

Record

50%

4078-4158 (8236)

Both legs:

Down$112.274¢-$112.2

Up$15.4213.3¢+$100.58

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$66.86

Value

$90.12

PnL

+$24.06

Record

52%

4724-4405 (9129)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$13.5

Value

$30

PnL

+$16.5

Record

47%

1827-2050 (3877)

Invested

$32.79

Value

$30

PnL

-$2.79

Record

54%

2039-1735 (3774)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$3.87

Value

$23.39

PnL

+$19.52

Record

52%

2361-2151 (4512)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$34.02

Value

$22

PnL

-$7.79

Record

51%

1912-1810 (3722)

rabadabadooCTR<$100

Invested

$16.09

Value

—

PnL

-$16.09

Record

46%

1280-1506 (2786)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$8.19

Value

$17.12

PnL

+$8.93

Record

44%

1797-2312 (4109)

Invested

$10.92

Value

$13

PnL

+$2.08

Record

67%

3113-1544 (4657)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.81

Value

—

PnL

-$2.81

Record

48%

1808-1977 (3785)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$45.86

Value

—

PnL

-$9.61

Record

63%

3684-2190 (5874)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.82

Value

—

PnL

-$1.82

Record

49%

2171-2227 (4398)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x39be2d01...673e32

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794624900

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Arbitrage — excluded

blue.birds

Up — $90.12

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $30

ply-pm2

Up — $30

MayorMamdani

Up — $23.39

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $22

rabadabadoo

Down — $0

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