Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
15
Down 33%
$1.4K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 15 top traders (33%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 360-206 (566) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$0 | 51% 2954-2869 (5823) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $508.8 | $510 | +$1.2 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $85.28 | $99.71 | +$14.43 | 51% 1912-1810 (3722) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.6¢ | $54.94 | — | -$24.14 | 50% 4078-4158 (8236) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $9.45 | $15 | +$5.55 | 54% 2039-1735 (3774) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $9.52 | $14 | +$4.48 | 44% 1797-2312 (4109) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $9 | $12 | +$3 | 52% 4724-4405 (9129) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $7.2 | $12 | +$4.8 | 60% 3273-2196 (5469) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $5.44 | $6 | +$1.84 | 63% 3684-2190 (5874) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $4.74 | $6 | +$1.26 | 41% 1300-1898 (3198) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.75 | $5.22 | +$0.47 | 67% 3113-1544 (4657) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $2.84 | — | -$2.84 | 52% 2361-2151 (4512) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.3¢ | $24.8 | — | -$24.8 | 48% 155-169 (324) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3¢ | $7.45 | — | -$7.45 | 48% 1808-1977 (3785) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
360-206 (566)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
2954-2869 (5823)
Invested
$508.8
Value
$510
PnL
+$1.2
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$85.28
Value
$99.71
PnL
+$14.43
Record
51%
1912-1810 (3722)
Invested
$54.94
Value
—
PnL
-$24.14
Record
50%
4078-4158 (8236)
Invested
$9.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.55
Record
54%
2039-1735 (3774)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
$14
PnL
+$4.48
Record
44%
1797-2312 (4109)
Invested
$9
Value
$12
PnL
+$3
Record
52%
4724-4405 (9129)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$4.8
Record
60%
3273-2196 (5469)
Invested
$5.44
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.84
Record
63%
3684-2190 (5874)
Invested
$4.74
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.26
Record
41%
1300-1898 (3198)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.47
Record
67%
3113-1544 (4657)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.84
Value
—
PnL
-$2.84
Record
52%
2361-2151 (4512)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$24.8
Value
—
PnL
-$24.8
Record
48%
155-169 (324)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.45
Value
—
PnL
-$7.45
Record
48%
1808-1977 (3785)