Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
23
Up 57%
$715.69
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 23 top traders (57%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 64% 293-166 (459) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500.92 | $500 | +$0.9 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $73.95 | $54.5 | +$11.57 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | $32.76 | — | -$32.76 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $28.88 | $25.22 | -$3.66 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $24.5 | $50 | +$25.5 | 51% 624-605 (1229) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.2¢ | $21.12 | $21.5 | +$0.38 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.5 | $21 | +$10.5 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $14.88 | $20 | +$5.12 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | $9.2 | $10.06 | +$0.86 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $9.28 | $8.41 | -$0.87 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.4¢ | $2.13 | — | -$2.13 | 46% 1189-1389 (2578) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4¢ | $0.44 | — | -$0.44 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $2.01 | — | -$2.01 | 52% 2202-2016 (4218) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $25 | — | -$25 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.6¢ | $2.66 | — | -$2.66 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.2¢ | $16.73 | — | -$1.73 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
64%
293-166 (459)
Invested
$500.92
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.9
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$73.95
Value
$54.5
PnL
+$11.57
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$32.76
Value
—
PnL
-$32.76
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$28.88
Value
$25.22
PnL
-$3.66
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$24.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$25.5
Record
51%
624-605 (1229)
Invested
$21.12
Value
$21.5
PnL
+$0.38
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$21
PnL
+$10.5
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$14.88
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.12
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$0.86
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.28
Value
$8.41
PnL
-$0.87
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
-$2.13
Record
46%
1189-1389 (2578)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.01
Value
—
PnL
-$2.01
Record
52%
2202-2016 (4218)
Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$25
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
Invested
$2.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.66
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$16.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
asdcaxz
Down — $54.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $25.22
PBot-6
Down — $50
hoodquant
Down — $21.5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $21
soswald1
Down — $20
asdaefef
Down — $10.06