Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Down 50%
$751.81
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 22 top traders (50%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 64% 293-166 (459) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $504.36 | $497.53 | -$2.57 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.1¢ | $91.23 | $92.99 | +$1.76 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $15.64 | $38.16 | +$22.52 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $31.5 | — | -$31.5 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $39.9 | $30 | -$9.9 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.7¢ | $30.35 | — | -$30.35 | 46% 1189-1389 (2578) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.6¢ | $54.6 | — | -$52.97 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 96.6¢ | $16.59 | $17.18 | +$0.59 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $16.52 | $18.77 | +$2.25 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 58% 4784-3498 (8282) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $5.89 | $21.02 | +$15.13 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $6.94 | — | -$6.94 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | $18.97 | — | -$9.37 | 47% 1691-1909 (3600) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.6 | $5.17 | +$0.57 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $3.2 | — | +$1.15 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.5¢ | $13.68 | — | -$8.7 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $2.84 | — | -$2.84 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 38% 493-800 (1293) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30 | — | -$0.3 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
64%
293-166 (459)
Invested
$504.36
Value
$497.53
PnL
-$2.57
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$91.23
Value
$92.99
PnL
+$1.76
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$15.64
Value
$38.16
PnL
+$22.52
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
Invested
$31.5
Value
—
PnL
-$31.5
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$39.9
Value
$30
PnL
-$9.9
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$30.35
Value
—
PnL
-$30.35
Record
46%
1189-1389 (2578)
Invested
$54.6
Value
—
PnL
-$52.97
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$16.59
Value
$17.18
PnL
+$0.59
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$16.52
Value
$18.77
PnL
+$2.25
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
ohioism<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
58%
4784-3498 (8282)
Invested
$5.89
Value
$21.02
PnL
+$15.13
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$6.94
Value
—
PnL
-$6.94
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$18.97
Value
—
PnL
-$9.37
Record
47%
1691-1909 (3600)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5.17
PnL
+$0.57
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
+$1.15
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$13.68
Value
—
PnL
-$8.7
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.84
Value
—
PnL
-$2.84
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
38%
493-800 (1293)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $497.53
hoodquant
Up — $92.99
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $38.16
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
Up — $30
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $17.18
ply-pm2
Up — $18.77