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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Down 50%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$-2.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 15 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,419
Combined PnL$-2.3K
Up7 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,065
Combined PnL+$15.48
Down — 53%Up — 47%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

64%

293-166 (459)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$748

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

HC
Hcrystallash
Up

Invested

$501.93

Value

$507

PnL

+$5.07

Record

58%

4784-3498 (8282)

BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$19.61

Value

$23.24

PnL

+$3.63

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$9.9

Value

$15

PnL

+$5.1

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$9.86

Value

$11

PnL

+$1.14

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.31

Value

—

PnL

-$5.31

Record

38%

493-800 (1293)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.45

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$3.79

Value

$3.88

PnL

+$0.09

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.2

Value

—

PnL

-$3.2

Record

47%

1726-1951 (3677)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

52%

2202-2016 (4218)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.24

Value

—

PnL

-$0.24

Record

32%

829-1726 (2555)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.31

Value

—

PnL

-$1.31

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x603802ef...59c81f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794594300

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.5K
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$748
HC

Hcrystallash

Up — $507

+$5.07
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0
SU

suntori

Up — $23.24

+$3.63
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $15

+$5.1
AS

asdaefef

Up — $11

+$1.14
FL

flippingsharks

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.31
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

+$0.45
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $3.88

+$0.09
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