Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 65%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$219.82
Smart Money Signal
15 of 23 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$4.46 | 64% 293-166 (459) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $715 | +$18.23 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $506.33 | $500 | +$0.25 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $251.3 | $500 | +$249.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $249.01 | — | -$249.25 | |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 60.6¢ | $154.22 | $180.9 | +$26.68 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 54.4¢ | $140.64 | — | -$140.64 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $117.11 | $106.28 | -$10.84 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 29.7¢ | $119.99 | — | -$53.14 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 59.3¢ | $101.04 | $94.79 | -$6.25 | 46% 1189-1389 (2578) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $110.64 | $90.54 | -$19.96 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $36.82 | $68.15 | +$31.33 | 38% 493-800 (1293) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $27.56 | $19.83 | -$7.73 | 58% 4784-3498 (8282) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 53.2¢ | $15.74 | $16.23 | +$0.49 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $15.6 | $14.08 | -$1.52 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $12.05 | $18.54 | +$6.49 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $9.62 | $13.02 | +$3.4 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $5.6 | $6.91 | +$1.31 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1¢ | $7.22 | — | -$7.22 | 47% 1691-1909 (3600) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $4.34 | $6.2 | +$1.86 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 | 52% 2202-2016 (4218) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $3.95 | — | -$3.95 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.5¢ | $25.85 | — | -$25.85 | 44% 1668-2150 (3818) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.3¢ | $13 | — | -$13 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.4¢ | $3.35 | — | -$3.35 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$4.46
Record
64%
293-166 (459)
Invested
$750
Value
$715
PnL
+$18.23
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$506.33
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.25
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Invested
$154.22
Value
$180.9
PnL
+$26.68
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
Invested
$140.64
Value
—
PnL
-$140.64
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$117.11
Value
$106.28
PnL
-$10.84
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$119.99
Value
—
PnL
-$53.14
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$101.04
Value
$94.79
PnL
-$6.25
Record
46%
1189-1389 (2578)
Invested
$110.64
Value
$90.54
PnL
-$19.96
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$36.82
Value
$68.15
PnL
+$31.33
Record
38%
493-800 (1293)
Invested
$27.56
Value
$19.83
PnL
-$7.73
Record
58%
4784-3498 (8282)
Invested
$15.74
Value
$16.23
PnL
+$0.49
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$14.08
PnL
-$1.52
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$12.05
Value
$18.54
PnL
+$6.49
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$9.62
Value
$13.02
PnL
+$3.4
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.91
PnL
+$1.31
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
Invested
$7.22
Value
—
PnL
-$7.22
Record
47%
1691-1909 (3600)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.34
Value
$6.2
PnL
+$1.86
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2202-2016 (4218)
Invested
$3.95
Value
—
PnL
-$3.95
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$25.85
Value
—
PnL
-$25.85
Record
44%
1668-2150 (3818)
Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$13
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$3.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $715
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
Down — $180.9
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $106.28
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
Down — $94.79
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $90.54
flippingsharks
Down — $68.15