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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Up 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$760.31

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,806
Combined PnL+$79.05
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,361
Combined PnL-$839.36
Up β€” 57%Down β€” 43%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$1.52

Record

64%

293-166 (459)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Down

Invested

$841.4

Value

β€”

PnL

-$812

Record

50%

1904-1877 (3781)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$516.03

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.33

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

Both legs:

Up$251.2750.3Β’+$250.2
Down$244.3449Β’-$245.87
Polkadot-Frog
Up

Invested

$86.9

Value

$120

PnL

+$39.15

Record

51%

1762-1676 (3438)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up

Invested

$106.25

Value

$111.27

PnL

+$5.02

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$113.55

Value

$126.35

PnL

+$12.8

Record

49%

3898-3999 (7897)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$32.13

Value

$33.62

PnL

+$1.49

Record

54%

1878-1606 (3484)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$28.58

Value

$28.67

PnL

+$0.09

Record

51%

2752-2659 (5411)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$21.66

Value

$19.13

PnL

-$2.53

Record

46%

1189-1389 (2578)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$18.9

Value

$30

PnL

+$11.1

Record

52%

4550-4257 (8807)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.71

Value

β€”

PnL

-$9.71

Record

48%

1683-1811 (3494)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$10.7

Value

$13.21

PnL

+$2.51

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$6.6

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.4

Record

47%

1691-1909 (3600)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$14.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.05

Record

47%

1726-1951 (3677)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

64%

2024-1152 (3176)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$3.6

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.4

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.9

Record

38%

493-800 (1293)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.48

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.48

Record

32%

829-1726 (2555)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.05

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.55

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.5

Record

72%

1328-513 (1841)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.31

Record

38%

1119-1814 (2933)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.86

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.86

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)