Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$760.31
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$1.52 | 64% 293-166 (459) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 36.9Β’ | $841.4 | β | -$812 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $516.03 | $500 | +$4.33 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $251.27 | $500 | +$250.2 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49Β’ | $244.34 | β | -$245.87 | |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 59.9Β’ | $86.9 | $120 | +$39.15 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 62.3Β’ | $106.25 | $111.27 | +$5.02 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 70.8Β’ | $113.55 | $126.35 | +$12.8 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 65.8Β’ | $32.13 | $33.62 | +$1.49 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 64.1Β’ | $28.58 | $28.67 | +$0.09 | 51% 2752-2659 (5411) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 59.2Β’ | $21.66 | $19.13 | -$2.53 | 46% 1189-1389 (2578) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 63Β’ | $18.9 | $30 | +$11.1 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.7Β’ | $9.71 | β | -$9.71 | 48% 1683-1811 (3494) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 62.4Β’ | $10.7 | $13.21 | +$2.51 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $6.6 | $12 | +$5.4 | 47% 1691-1909 (3600) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $14.35 | β | -$8.05 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 64% 2024-1152 (3176) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $3.6 | $6 | +$2.4 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $2.9 | β | -$2.9 | 38% 493-800 (1293) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.2Β’ | $0.48 | β | -$0.48 | 32% 829-1726 (2555) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $8.05 | β | -$1.55 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 30Β’ | $1.5 | β | -$1.5 | 72% 1328-513 (1841) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.31 | β | -$1.31 | 38% 1119-1814 (2933) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $1.86 | β | -$1.86 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.52
Record
64%
293-166 (459)
Invested
$841.4
Value
β
PnL
-$812
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$516.03
Value
$500
PnL
+$4.33
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$86.9
Value
$120
PnL
+$39.15
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
Invested
$106.25
Value
$111.27
PnL
+$5.02
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$113.55
Value
$126.35
PnL
+$12.8
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$32.13
Value
$33.62
PnL
+$1.49
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$28.58
Value
$28.67
PnL
+$0.09
Record
51%
2752-2659 (5411)
Invested
$21.66
Value
$19.13
PnL
-$2.53
Record
46%
1189-1389 (2578)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$11.1
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.71
Value
β
PnL
-$9.71
Record
48%
1683-1811 (3494)
Invested
$10.7
Value
$13.21
PnL
+$2.51
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.4
Record
47%
1691-1909 (3600)
Invested
$14.35
Value
β
PnL
-$8.05
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
64%
2024-1152 (3176)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.4
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
Invested
$2.9
Value
β
PnL
-$2.9
Record
38%
493-800 (1293)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
β
PnL
-$0.48
Record
32%
829-1726 (2555)
Invested
$8.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.55
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
β
PnL
-$1.5
Record
72%
1328-513 (1841)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
β
PnL
-$1.31
Record
38%
1119-1814 (2933)
Invested
$1.86
Value
β
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.3K
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $120
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $111.27
asdcaxz
Up β $126.35
ply-pm2
Up β $33.62
soswald1
Up β $28.67
rabadabadoo
Up β $19.13
blue.birds
Up β $30